EUR/JPY – 12H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-01 12:00 UTC 6 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.35 %

Entry

177.698

Target

175.728 +1.11 %

closes in profit

Stop

181.545 −2.16 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,120 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,120 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.37 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.20 % 12 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	SUPERTREND Flip Bearish	indicator	1.92
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.84
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.65
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.31
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.23
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.05
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.67

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 12H with 87% probability and very strong strength.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid trends on 2H, 12H, and 1D.
Key resistance at 181.54500 is the invalidation level to watch.
Momentum and trend indicators align, supporting a continued downside move.

The EUR/JPY 12H chart is flashing a very strong bearish signal, with a confluence of momentum, trend, and candlestick indicators all pointing lower. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying pressure to selling pressure, while the DX Trend Strong confirms a solid downtrend. The STOCHF KD Cross Down and WILLR OS Entry suggest momentum is turning down from overbought conditions, and the multiple retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) confirm that price is pulling back from recent highs. With an 87% probability and 'very strong' strength, this signal carries significant weight.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, though it is strongest on the 2H, 12H, and 1D charts, where it is rated as a solid trend. The lower timeframes (15m to 1h) show a trend forming, which suggests the bearish momentum is still developing. The nearest resistance is at 181.54500, which serves as a key level to watch; a break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. With no clear support nearby, the downside could be open, but traders should watch for any signs of reversal.

Key takeaways: The signal is strongly bearish with high probability; the trend is aligned across multiple timeframes, especially on higher timeframes; the nearest resistance at 181.54500 is the critical level to monitor; and momentum indicators confirm the bearish bias.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, DX, STOCHF, WILLR, and retreat signals).
▼ Solid bearish trend on higher timeframes (12H and 1D) provides strong trend alignment.
▼ Momentum is turning down from overbought conditions, as indicated by STOCHF and WILLR.

Risk Factors

▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 181.54500 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) show only a forming trend, which could indicate a lack of immediate momentum.
▲ If the price fails to break below recent lows, the bearish move could stall and lead to a consolidation or reversal.

Symbol EUR/JPY

Timeframe 12H

Direction SELL

Conviction 97%

Strength VERY STRONG

Date 2026-10-01 12:00

cat_ Forex Forex