EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-01 06:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.3 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 37 % (4.63) ▼ Bearish 63 % (7.87)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 3.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	1.95
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.62
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.12

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term pullback, but the trend is mixed across timeframes.
Immediate support at 178.018 is the key level to watch; a break below would confirm the bearish move.
Resistance at 179.129 must hold to keep the bearish scenario intact.
The overall trend remains bearish on higher timeframes, but lower timeframes are still bullish, so caution is advised.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI exiting overbought territory, and a T3 Retreat Down, alongside a Long Legged Doji candlestick. These signals suggest that the recent upward momentum is stalling and a short-term pullback may be underway. The bearish case is supported by the broader trend structure: the 4-hour through daily timeframes are all bearish, with solid trend scores on the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts. However, the immediate lower timeframes (15-minute and 30-minute) are still bullish, indicating that the pullback is occurring within a larger bearish context.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 179.129 and support at 178.018. A break below support would confirm the bearish reversal and open the path toward lower levels. Conversely, if the price fails to break support and instead reclaims the resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated. Given the weak strength of the signal and the conflicting bullish momentum on lower timeframes, traders should wait for confirmation before acting.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals fired on the 30-minute chart, including BOP Zero Cross Down and RSI OB Exit.
▼ Higher timeframes (4h to daily) are bearish, aligning with the short-term sell signal.
▼ A Long Legged Doji candlestick suggests indecision and potential reversal.
▼ The signal is occurring near resistance, providing a potential entry zone for shorts.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m and 30m) are still bullish, which could overpower the bearish signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak (62% probability), indicating less conviction.
▲ If the price breaks above resistance at 179.129, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade if the pullback is shallow and the price resumes the uptrend.