TRX/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
64.5 %
↓ −2.6 zur Vorkerze
VERY STRONG
Scalping
▲ Bullish 11 % (1.45)
▼ Bearish 89 % (11.98)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 89.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 4 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
5 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 22.5 %
vs 35.0 % average ·
stopped out 24.0 %
vs 21.1 %
(Crypto, 1,245 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(1 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 2× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 3.01 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.94 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 2.72 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.54 |
| ▼ | SMA 200 Break Down | indicator | 2.44 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Entry | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | Closing Marubozu Bearish | candlestick | 0.68 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on 30m with multiple indicators aligning for a sell.
- Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are bearish, but higher timeframes (2h-1d) are still bullish.
- Watch the 0.33860 resistance as the key invalidation level for the bearish move.
- No immediate support is defined, so downside targets are unclear.
The 30-minute TRX/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a STOCHF KD Cross Down, DEMA/EMA/KAMA/MA Retreat Downs, a HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and MAMA PRICE and MIDPOINT Break Downs. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to strong selling pressure on the intraday timeframe, with the probability rated at 92% and strength very strong. The bearish alignment is supported by the 15-minute trend being solidly bearish (3/5), while the 30-minute and 1-hour trends are also turning bearish (2/5), suggesting the move is gaining traction across the lower timeframes.
However, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, though with only forming or choppy trend scores. This creates a conflict: the sell signal is primarily an intraday reversal, and the broader uptrend may limit downside follow-through. The nearest resistance is at 0.33860, which now acts as a key level to watch—if price reclaims it, the bearish thesis weakens. With no nearest support defined, traders should monitor for the next support zone to form, but the immediate focus is on whether the bearish momentum can sustain against the higher-timeframe bullish bias.
However, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, though with only forming or choppy trend scores. This creates a conflict: the sell signal is primarily an intraday reversal, and the broader uptrend may limit downside follow-through. The nearest resistance is at 0.33860, which now acts as a key level to watch—if price reclaims it, the bearish thesis weakens. With no nearest support defined, traders should monitor for the next support zone to form, but the immediate focus is on whether the bearish momentum can sustain against the higher-timeframe bullish bias.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of 10+ bearish signals on the 30m timeframe.
- ▼ Solid bearish trend on the 15m chart supports the move.
- ▼ Trend scores on 30m and 1h are turning bearish, indicating momentum shift.
- ▼ High probability (92%) and very strong strength signal.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2h-1d) remain bullish, which could limit downside.
- ▲ The 1h and 30m trends are only 'forming' (2/5), so the bearish trend is not yet fully established.
- ▲ A reclaim of the 0.33860 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the price stalls near the prior support area.
Symbol
TRX/USDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
89%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-10-01 10:30
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.33860 | 2026-10-01 |
| R2 | 0.34090 | 2026-09-30 |