USD/CHF – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED
52 minutes ago
61.0 %
↑ +5.3 zur Vorkerze
VERY STRONG
Scalping
▲ Bullish 7 % (1.83)
▼ Bearish 93 % (25.70)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 93.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(1 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | STOCH OB Exit | indicator | 2.60 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downbreak + retest | trendline | 1.80 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▲ | RSX OS Exit | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.19 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.64 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HUPVery strong trend
12HUPVery strong trend
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals converge on the 30m chart, suggesting a short-term pullback.
- The trend is bearish from 15m to 4h, but the 8h and 12h remain bullish, so this is likely a correction.
- Watch the 0.82989 support for a potential downside continuation; a break could open lower levels.
- Resistance at 0.83826 is the key invalidation zone—if price reclaims it, the bearish setup weakens.
The USD/CHF 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a trendline break and a BOP zero cross down, with momentum oscillators (STOCH OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down) confirming downside pressure. The EMA, KAMA, and MA retreats all point to a pullback within the prevailing short-term downtrend, which is forming across the 15m through 4h timeframes. However, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h) remain strongly bullish, so this is best viewed as a corrective move within a larger uptrend.
Key levels to watch: immediate resistance sits at 0.83826, while support at 0.82989 is the first downside target. A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, but a failure to hold below the trendline break or a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the setup. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 30m lends moderate confidence, yet the conflicting higher-timeframe trend warrants caution for aggressive entries.
Key levels to watch: immediate resistance sits at 0.83826, while support at 0.82989 is the first downside target. A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, but a failure to hold below the trendline break or a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the setup. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 30m lends moderate confidence, yet the conflicting higher-timeframe trend warrants caution for aggressive entries.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trendline break down on the 30m, confirmed by BOP zero cross down, indicates selling pressure.
- ▼ Stochastic oscillator exiting overbought and the KD cross down signal momentum shifting lower.
- ▼ EMA, KAMA, and MA retreats all align, reinforcing the bearish pullback.
- ▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 4h timeframes supports the short-term down move.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h) are strongly bullish, which could limit downside or reverse the move.
- ▲ The 1d trend is still bullish (2/5), so the pullback may be shallow.
- ▲ If price breaks above 0.83826, the bearish signal is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if stochastic reaches oversold too quickly, leading to a bounce.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
93%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-10-01 21:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.83826 | 2026-10-01 |
| S1 | 0.82989 | 2026-09-29 |