EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-02 15:00 UTC 48 minutes ago

59.3 % – erste Kerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +45% Intraday

▲ Bullish 14 % (8.09) ▼ Bearish 86 % (49.15)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 85.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Pennantbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.13
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.68
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.22
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.01
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.55
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.55
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.55
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.39
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.09
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	0.88

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with multiple signals confirming downside momentum.
A Trendline Break Down and Bear Pennant suggest a continuation of the downtrend.
Watch for a move toward the nearest support at 176.77100; a break below could accelerate selling.
A sustained move above 179.31300 would signal a potential reversal and invalidate the bearish setup.

The EUR/JPY 1H chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Bear Pennant continuation pattern, both pointing to lower prices. This is reinforced by a DEMA Retreat Down and a break below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating strong downside momentum. Overbought/oversold oscillators (RSI, STOCH, WILLR) are aligned with the bearish move, showing the market is in a sustained decline rather than a mere pullback.

Across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, the trend is uniformly bearish, with the 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all showing a solid trend score of 3/5. This multi-timeframe alignment adds significant weight to the bearish case. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 176.77100, while any bounce may find resistance at 179.31300. The confluence of a chart pattern, trendline break, and indicator signals suggests a high-probability setup, but traders should watch for a reclaim of the broken trendline or a close above the resistance level, which would invalidate the bearish bias.

Catalysts

▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes (15m to 1D) with solid trend scores.
▼ Confluence of chart pattern (Bear Pennant), trendline break, and multiple oscillator signals.
▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band indicates strong downside momentum.
▼ High probability (85%) and very strong signal strength.

Risk Factors

▲ A close above the nearest resistance at 179.31300 could negate the bearish setup.
▲ Oversold conditions (RSI OS Entry, STOCH OS Exit) may lead to a short-term bounce or consolidation.
▲ The 15m timeframe shows only a forming trend (2/5), suggesting a possible early-stage pullback risk.
▲ If the price reclaims the broken trendline, the signal loses its technical foundation.