USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-02 01:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.3 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 96 % (26.37) ▼ Bearish 4 % (1.12)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 5.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	2.71
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.15
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.00
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.94
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.94
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.90
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.90
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.90
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.42
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.16
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	1.12
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.07

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30m chart, including BOP, stochastic, and Williams %R crossovers.
Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, supporting the long-term trend.
Key resistance at 158.45400; a break could open the path higher.
Watch support at 157.22800 as the invalidation level for the bullish setup.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart is firing a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a BOP zero cross up, a stochastic KD cross up, and a Williams %R oversold entry, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE). This confluence indicates strong short-term buying pressure and momentum turning upward after a pullback. The trend across timeframes shows a mixed picture: while the 15m, 30m, and 2h are bullish but choppy, the 1h and 4h remain bearish, yet higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish with the daily showing a solid trend. This suggests the bullish bias is supported by the longer-term structure, but the immediate resistance at 158.45400 is the key hurdle to watch.

For traders, the immediate focus is on whether price can sustain above the nearest support at 157.22800 and push toward the 158.45400 resistance. A break above that level would confirm the bullish momentum and align with the higher timeframe trend. However, the conflicting bearish signals on the 1h and 4h timeframes caution against overcommitting. The high probability and strong strength of the signal add conviction, but the choppy nature of the lower timeframes means price action could be erratic. The invalidation level is the nearest support; a close below it would negate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) confirm bullish momentum.
▲ BOP zero cross up and stochastic KD cross up signal increasing buying pressure.
▲ Williams %R oversold entry suggests potential for a bounce.
▲ Daily timeframe shows a solid bullish trend (3/5), aligning with the signal direction.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1h and 4h timeframes are bearish, which could counter the bullish signal.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 2h) are choppy and sideways, indicating weak momentum.
▼ A close below the nearest support at 157.22800 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Resistance at 158.45400 may cap upside if not broken decisively.