TRX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-03 12:00 UTC 1 hour ago

52.8 % ↓ −14.3 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 49 % (5.53) ▼ Bearish 51 % (5.74)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 50.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.3 % vs 34.5 % average · stopped out 40.0 % vs 21.4 % (Crypto, 909 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.83
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.44
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.39
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.87
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	1.56
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.55
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.26
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.09
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.07
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.01

Trend Context

15M

UPExtremely strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests short-term downside momentum.
The broader trend is bullish across most timeframes, so this may be a pullback rather than a reversal.
Watch the 0.33420 support level; a break below could accelerate selling, while holding it may lead to a bounce.
The 0.33700 resistance is the immediate upside hurdle; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.

The 30-minute TRX/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI OB Exit, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, T3 Break Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Down, STC OB Entry, and ALMA Break Down, among others. This confluence indicates a strong short-term bearish impulse, with price retreating from overbought conditions and breaking below multiple dynamic averages. The signal's very strong strength and 87% probability underscore the conviction behind this move, suggesting that the immediate momentum has shifted to the downside.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across higher timeframes, with the 15-minute and 30-minute charts showing solid bullish trends (5/5 and 3/5 respectively), while higher timeframes from 1-hour to 1-day are either trend forming or choppy/sideways. This creates a conflict: the bearish signal is firing against the prevailing bullish bias, which could limit the downside or lead to a pullback within an ongoing uptrend. The nearest support at 0.33420 is a critical level to watch; a break below could signal a deeper correction, while holding this level might allow the bullish trend to resume. Resistance at 0.33700 remains the immediate upside barrier.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (CCI, BBANDS, MAMA, T3, SMI, STC, ALMA) all pointing to downside.
▼ Price breaking below dynamic averages (MAMA, T3, ALMA) confirms bearish momentum.
▼ Overbought conditions (CCI OB Exit, STC OB Entry) suggest exhaustion of buying pressure.
▼ The signal's very strong strength and high probability indicate robust conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends remain bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are bullish, conflicting with the bearish signal.
▲ If price holds above the 0.33420 support, the bearish move may fail and the uptrend could resume.
▲ Nearby resistance at 0.33700 could be retested if momentum fades, invalidating the sell signal.