ETH/BTC – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-04 06:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % ↓ −27.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 15 % (4.30) ▼ Bearish 85 % (23.65)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

50.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 3.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.81
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.75
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.60
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.94
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.25
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.10
▼	Bearish Separating Lines	candlestick	0.95
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.78

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals dominate the 1H chart with strong confluence, suggesting continued downside pressure.
Support at 0.03155 is the immediate downside target; a break below confirms bearish continuation.
Resistance at 0.03174 is the invalidation level; reclaiming it would negate the bearish setup.
Timeframe alignment is mixed: short-term bearish, daily bullish, so expect possible choppy movement.

The ETH/BTC 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, SAR Flip Bearish, T3 Retreat Down, and AO Saucer Bearish, alongside a DX Trend Weak and multiple momentum oscillators confirming downside pressure. The immediate lower timeframes (15m and 30m) are already bearish, while the 1H and 2H are bullish but choppy, indicating that the short-term momentum is turning against the higher-timeframe bias. The 4H through 12H are all bearish, albeit choppy, and the daily is bullish with a solid trend, creating a mixed but leaning bearish alignment for the session.

The key levels to watch are the nearest support at 0.03155 and resistance at 0.03174. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal and open the path toward lower levels, while holding above resistance would invalidate the setup. Given the strong probability (84%) and the confluence of signals, the path of least resistance appears to be downward on the 1H, but traders should remain cautious of the daily bullish trend and the choppy nature of the higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals (BOP, SAR, T3, AO) align on the 1H chart, increasing signal reliability.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bearish, supporting immediate downside momentum.
▼ The 4H-12H timeframes are bearish, providing medium-term tailwind.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (84%) add conviction to the bearish view.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily timeframe is bullish with a solid trend, which could limit downside or lead to a reversal.
▲ The 1H and 2H are bullish (though choppy), creating conflicting signals that may cause whipsaws.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.03174, the bearish signal is invalidated and a short squeeze could occur.
▲ Momentum oscillators (STOCHF, WILLR) show a short-term oversold bounce, which could temporarily pause the decline.