NEA/RUSDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-04 12:30 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % ↓ −10.6 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (13.07)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 33.8 % average · stopped out 48.3 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,699 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.34
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.33
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.24
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.21
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.15
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.07
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.97
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPExtremely strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 30m, but higher timeframes are bullish, so this may be a pullback.
Key support at 4.60400; a break below could invalidate the bullish bias.
Resistance at 4.90800 is the level to watch for a potential reversal back up.
Watch for momentum confirmation; if selling pressure fades, the signal may weaken.

The NEA/RUSDT pair has triggered a very strong SELL signal on the 30-minute timeframe, with a confluence of momentum and volatility indicators all turning bearish. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is overtaking buying pressure, while the BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down and SMA 200 Retreat Down suggest price is pulling back from overbought conditions and failing to hold above key moving averages. The ER Level Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, ALMA Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, and HMA Direction Down all confirm a short-term bearish momentum shift. This cluster of signals points to a potential retracement within the broader uptrend.

Despite the bearish signal on the 30-minute chart, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bullish, with the daily chart showing an extremely strong uptrend (5/5). The 1-hour and 15-minute charts are also solidly bullish, but the 2-hour and 4-hour trends are choppy/sideways, suggesting that the pullback could be part of a consolidation phase. The nearest support at 4.60400 is a critical level to watch; if price holds above it, the bullish trend may resume, but a break below could open the door to further downside. The nearest resistance at 4.90800 is the level to reclaim for bulls to regain control.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, BBANDS, SMA 200, ER, SMI, ALMA, HMA) on the 30m chart.
▼ Price retreating from upper Bollinger Band and SMA 200, indicating overbought conditions.
▼ Lower timeframe bearish momentum aligns with the 30m signal, suggesting immediate downside pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1d, 12h, 8h) are strongly bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The 2h and 4h trends are choppy/sideways, meaning the pullback may be shallow.
▲ If price holds above support at 4.60400, the bearish signal could fail and the uptrend resume.
▲ A break above resistance at 4.90800 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal renewed bullish momentum.