ETH/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
53.9 % ↓ −13.2 zur Vorkerze
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 62 % (5.71) ▼ Bearish 38 % (3.47)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 62.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
ETH/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 62%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MACD Hidden Bull Div divergence 3.94
▲ AO Hidden Bull Div divergence 3.65
▲ Momentum Hidden Bull Div divergence 3.60
▲ MACD Hist Regular Bull Div divergence 3.57
▲ Stoch Regular Bull Div divergence 2.96
▲ KST Signal Cross Up indicator 2.42
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.12
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.12
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.05
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.94
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 1.78
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.63
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.56
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.26
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.10
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.63

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful 30-minute bullish signal cluster (Stoch KD cross, Williams %R, multiple moving-average retreats) points to a short-term bounce.
  • The bounce is counter-trend: 1h and 2h are bearish, while higher timeframes (8h-1d) are turning bullish—so expect possible resistance overhead.
  • Watch 2730.28 resistance and 2679.63 support; a break above could extend gains, while a loss of support invalidates the setup.
  • Given the mixed trend picture, treat this as a high-probability short-term long, not a trend reversal signal.
The 30-minute ETH/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Stoch KD cross up and a Williams %R oversold entry, reinforced by multiple moving-average and trendline retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, MAMA Price, ER Level). This suggests a strong short-term bounce attempt within a broader bearish intraday structure. The immediate backdrop is mixed: the 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish and bearish respectively, both choppy, while higher timeframes from 2h to 1d remain predominantly bearish, though the 8h, 12h, and 1d show bullish trend formation or a solid uptrend. This divergence implies the current buy signal is a counter-trend move against the dominant intraday downtrend, likely a technical rebound rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 2730.28 and support at 2679.63. A sustained move above resistance would suggest the bounce has legs, potentially aligning with the higher-timeframe bullish bias. Conversely, a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the bearish trend. Traders should treat this as a high-probability short-term long with tight risk management, given the conflicting lower-timeframe trends and the overall bearish bias on the 1h and 2h charts.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Strong confluence of multiple indicators firing simultaneously on the 30m chart (Stoch, Williams %R, DEMA/EMA/KAMA/MAMA retreats).
  • ▲ Higher-timeframe bullish structure (8h, 12h, 1d) supports the idea that the bounce may align with a larger uptrend.
  • ▲ The signal comes from oversold conditions (Williams %R), which often precede mean-reversion bounces.
  • ▲ The dense signal cluster (98% probability) suggests high conviction among the algorithmic models.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1h and 2h timeframes are bearish, so the bounce could stall at resistance and reverse.
  • ▼ If price breaks below 2679.63 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
  • ▼ The choppy/sideways nature of the 15m and 30m trends (strength 1/5) indicates weak momentum, which could limit upside follow-through.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 2730.28 is close; failure to break it could lead to a quick fade.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 62%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-05 21:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,730.28000 2026-10-05
R2 2,734.55000 2026-10-05
R3 2,739.50000 2026-10-04
S1 2,679.63000 2026-10-05
S2 2,677.41000 2026-10-03
S3 2,650.88000 2026-10-02

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