EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-05 02:00 UTC 43 minutes ago

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 27 % (12.79) ▼ Bearish 73 % (35.42)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 73.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.59
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish trendline break on the 30-minute chart is the primary signal, supported by multiple momentum and moving average retreats.
Trend alignment is bearish from 30m up to 12h, with the strongest trends on the 1h and 2h timeframes.
Watch the nearest support at 1.61357; a break below could accelerate downside, while resistance at 1.62048 is the invalidation zone.
The 15-minute and daily timeframes are bullish but choppy, so any bounce is likely limited.

The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by momentum and trend-following indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Down adds short-term downside momentum. The EMA 200, KAMA, MIDPRICE, and SMA 50 Retreat Downs all indicate that price is pulling back from key moving averages, aligning with the bearish trendline break.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is solid from the 30-minute up to the 12-hour, with the 1-hour and 2-hour showing strong trends (3/5). The 15-minute and daily are bullish but choppy, suggesting any upside is limited. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 1.61357; a break below could open the door to further downside. Resistance at 1.62048 is the key level to watch for any rebound, and a close above it would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple signals firing together (trendline, momentum, and moving averages) create strong confluence.
▼ Bearish trend alignment across 30m to 12h timeframes supports the continuation of the move.
▼ The 1-hour and 2-hour trends are solid (3/5), providing a solid backdrop for the short-term bearish bias.
▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms that selling pressure is increasing.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute and daily timeframes are bullish, which could lead to a counter-trend bounce.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 1.62048, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the STOCHF and CCI indicators show divergence, signaling a potential reversal.
▲ The 30-minute trend is still forming (2/5), so the bearish move may lack full conviction.