EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-05 14:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.03 %

Entry

177.289

Target

177.824 +0.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

176.220 −0.60 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Regular Bull Div, HMA Break Up, SMA 50 Break Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 11.6 % (forex, 287 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MACD Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.79
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.39
▲	SMA 50 Break Up	indicator	2.15
▲	MA Break Up	indicator	2.09
▲	EMA Break Up	indicator	1.84
▲	KAMA Break Up	indicator	1.83
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	1.81
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	1.79
▲	HT TRENDLINE Break Up	indicator	1.78
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.54
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.47
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.26
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.21
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong short-term bullish momentum on the 30-minute chart, but it's a counter-trend move against higher timeframe bearish trends.
Key resistance at 177.82400; a break above could signal further upside, but failure may lead to a reversal.
Support at 176.22000 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signal.
Higher timeframe trends (1H and above) are bearish, so any long position should be treated as tactical, not trend-following.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a stochastic cross up, a breakout above the EMA, KAMA, and MAMA price, and a break of a higher-timeframe trendline. The breadth of indicators agreeing on the same direction suggests strong short-term buying pressure. However, the bullish alignment is confined to the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes, which are still in the early stages of trend formation (2/5). In contrast, all higher timeframes from 1-hour up to daily are in solid bearish trends (3/5), indicating that this is likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 177.82400 is a critical hurdle; a failure to break above it would confirm the bearish bias on higher timeframes. Support at 176.22000 is the key level to watch for a potential reversal back to the downside.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (stochastic, EMA, KAMA, MAMA, and trendline break) on the 30-minute chart.
▲ Bullish signals on both 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes, showing short-term momentum alignment.
▲ Price is above the nearest support at 176.22000, which has held so far.
▲ The high probability (97%) and very strong signal strength suggest robust short-term buying interest.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, etc.) are all in solid bearish trends, which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
▼ The nearest resistance at 177.82400 is a major barrier; a rejection there would likely trigger a pullback.
▼ The bullish trend on 15m and 30m is still 'forming' (2/5), indicating it is not yet fully established and could fail.
▼ If price breaks below support at 176.22000, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.