EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down, VORTEX Cross Down +7 more
Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▲ | QSTICK Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▼ | VORTEX Cross Down | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 1.11 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.85 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 0.75 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.75 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bearish alignment from 1H to daily, with the 30M signal adding a short-term entry point.
- Multiple momentum and trend indicators (AROON, BOP, STOCHF) confirm selling pressure.
- Watch the 176.220 support—a break could accelerate the decline; resistance at 177.439 is the key invalidation.
- The choppy 15M/30M trend suggests caution—wait for confirmation below support.
Across timeframes, the trend structure is clearly bearish: the 1-hour through daily charts all show solid downtrends, with the 2-hour and higher timeframes aligning at strength 3/5. The 15-minute and 30-minute charts are still bullish but choppy, which is typical during a corrective phase against the larger trend. The key levels to watch are resistance at 177.439 and support at 176.220. A sustained break below the support would reaffirm the bearish bias, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term setup.
- ▼ Higher timeframe trends (1H to daily) are solidly bearish, providing a strong tailwind.
- ▼ Confluence of AROON, BOP, and STOCHF signals points to consistent selling momentum.
- ▼ EMA 200 retreat down indicates price is respecting the dynamic resistance.
- ▼ The signal cluster includes 12+ indicators, increasing the probability of a sustained move.
- ▲ The 15M and 30M trends are still bullish, which could lead to a choppy, range-bound move rather than a clean drop.
- ▲ The recent MOM and ROC Zero Cross Ups hint at a possible short-term bounce that might stall the bearish progression.
- ▲ If price breaks above the 177.439 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
- ▲ The 71% probability is not absolute, and the moderate strength suggests the move may lack explosive momentum.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 177.43900 | 2026-10-05 |
| R2 | 177.82400 | 2026-10-05 |
| R3 | 177.85200 | 2026-10-02 |
| S1 | 176.22000 | 2026-10-05 |