EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +4 more
Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | EMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▲ | RSX Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▲ | SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.22 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.88 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bearish confluence: multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, EMAs, ER) align to the downside on the 30M chart.
- Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are all in solid downtrends, supporting the sell bias.
- Watch the 177.82400 resistance—a rejection there confirms the setup; a break above it invalidates.
- The 176.61300 support is the immediate downside target; a break could accelerate selling.
Across timeframes, the trend is clearly bearish on the higher frames (1H through 1D all show solid 3/5 downtrends), while the 15M and 30M are still in early bullish formation (2/5). This creates a classic pullback-into-resistance scenario: the lower timeframe bounce is likely to be capped by the dominant bearish trend. The nearest resistance at 177.82400 is the key barrier; a rejection there would confirm the bearish continuation. Conversely, the nearest support at 176.61300 is the first downside target, and a break below that would open the door for further declines.
- ▼ Strong alignment of bearish signals on the 30M chart (BOP, STOCHF, EMA/SMA retreats, ER cross).
- ▼ Higher timeframe trends (1H to 1D) are consistently bearish, providing a tailwind.
- ▼ The 50-period moving averages are retreating, confirming the bearish momentum.
- ▼ The HT TRENDMODE shift to Cycle suggests the market is transitioning from a trend to a range, often preceding a move down.
- ▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are still in early bullish formations, which could lead to a short-term bounce that stalls the sell.
- ▲ The RSX Midline Cross Up and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up hint at short-term buying pressure that could trigger a squeeze higher.
- ▲ If price breaks above the 177.82400 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated and the trend could reverse.
- ▲ The 1H trend is only a 3/5 strength, so the bearish momentum is not overwhelming; a loss of momentum could lead to a sideways consolidation.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 177.82400 | 2026-10-05 |
| R2 | 177.85200 | 2026-10-02 |
| R3 | 177.91400 | 2026-10-02 |
| S1 | 176.61300 | 2026-10-02 |