EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED
3 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.09 %
Entry
177.010
Target
176.613 +0.22 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.824 −0.46 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 30m 0%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.00
▲ RSX Midline Cross Up indicator 1.43
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.31
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.24
▲ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.22
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.88

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish confluence: multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, EMAs, ER) align to the downside on the 30M chart.
  • Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are all in solid downtrends, supporting the sell bias.
  • Watch the 177.82400 resistance—a rejection there confirms the setup; a break above it invalidates.
  • The 176.61300 support is the immediate downside target; a break could accelerate selling.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and a STOCHF KD Cross Down, alongside EMA 50 and SMA 50 retreats. The HT TRENDMODE shift to Cycle and the ER Level Cross Down further reinforce the bearish tilt, while the RSX Midline Cross Up and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up add nuance—suggesting short-term countertrend pressure within the broader down move. The confluence of these indicators points to a high-probability sell setup, with the 83% probability and strong signal strength reflecting the alignment.

Across timeframes, the trend is clearly bearish on the higher frames (1H through 1D all show solid 3/5 downtrends), while the 15M and 30M are still in early bullish formation (2/5). This creates a classic pullback-into-resistance scenario: the lower timeframe bounce is likely to be capped by the dominant bearish trend. The nearest resistance at 177.82400 is the key barrier; a rejection there would confirm the bearish continuation. Conversely, the nearest support at 176.61300 is the first downside target, and a break below that would open the door for further declines.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong alignment of bearish signals on the 30M chart (BOP, STOCHF, EMA/SMA retreats, ER cross).
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (1H to 1D) are consistently bearish, providing a tailwind.
  • ▼ The 50-period moving averages are retreating, confirming the bearish momentum.
  • ▼ The HT TRENDMODE shift to Cycle suggests the market is transitioning from a trend to a range, often preceding a move down.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are still in early bullish formations, which could lead to a short-term bounce that stalls the sell.
  • ▲ The RSX Midline Cross Up and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up hint at short-term buying pressure that could trigger a squeeze higher.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the 177.82400 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated and the trend could reverse.
  • ▲ The 1H trend is only a 3/5 strength, so the bearish momentum is not overwhelming; a loss of momentum could lead to a sideways consolidation.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-05 12:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.82400 2026-10-05
R2 177.85200 2026-10-02
R3 177.91400 2026-10-02
S1 176.61300 2026-10-02

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