EUR/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATED
43 minutes ago
61.0 %
↑ +1.7 zur Vorkerze
VERY STRONG
Scalping
▲ Bullish 3 % (1.37)
▼ Bearish 97 % (47.81)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 97.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(4 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▼ | TEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▼ | TSI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▲ | CTI OB Exit | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | VORTEX Cross Up | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.90 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish momentum on the 30m, with 15+ signals aligning for a sell.
- All timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish, with higher timeframes showing very strong trends.
- Watch for a break below 1.12209 to confirm continuation; a move above 1.12855 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- The confluence of MACD, RSI, and STOCH cross-downs indicates broad selling pressure.
The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including MACD, RSI, and STOCH cross-downs, alongside a BOP zero cross down and CCI OB exit. This indicates a broad-based loss of upside momentum, with sellers seizing control across multiple oscillators. The signal strength is strong, and the probability is elevated at 79%, suggesting a high level of confluence among the indicators.
Trend alignment across timeframes is firmly bearish, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H charts all showing very strong downtrends (4/5), and the daily chart in a solid downtrend (3/5). The lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are also bearish but choppy, indicating that the immediate move may be part of a larger correction within the longer-term downtrend. The nearest resistance is at 1.12855, which aligns with prior supply, while the nearest support at 1.12209 is a key downside target. A break below this support would likely accelerate the downtrend, whereas a failure to hold below resistance could signal a pullback.
Trend alignment across timeframes is firmly bearish, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H charts all showing very strong downtrends (4/5), and the daily chart in a solid downtrend (3/5). The lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are also bearish but choppy, indicating that the immediate move may be part of a larger correction within the longer-term downtrend. The nearest resistance is at 1.12855, which aligns with prior supply, while the nearest support at 1.12209 is a key downside target. A break below this support would likely accelerate the downtrend, whereas a failure to hold below resistance could signal a pullback.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with 4H and above showing very strong bearish trends.
- ▼ Multiple oscillator cross-downs (MACD, RSI, STOCH) confirm momentum shift.
- ▼ BOP zero cross down and CCI OB exit suggest sellers are in control and buying pressure is fading.
- ▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (79%) indicate high confluence.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 15m and 30m trends are choppy, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
- ▲ If price breaks above 1.12855, the bearish signal is invalidated and a retracement may occur.
- ▲ The 1H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the immediate momentum may not be as strong as higher timeframes.
- ▲ A bounce off the support at 1.12209 could lead to a short-term rally, especially if the daily trend is not as strong.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Conviction
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-10-05 02:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.12855 | 2026-10-02 |
| R2 | 1.13368 | 2026-10-01 |
| R3 | 1.13804 | 2026-09-30 |
| S1 | 1.12209 | 2026-10-02 |
| S2 | 1.12150 | 2026-10-01 |