NEA/RUSDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-05 08:00 UTC 1 hour ago

60.1 % ↑ +6.2 zur Vorkerze

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 25 % (4.57) ▼ Bearish 75 % (13.59)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 74.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 33.5 % average · stopped out 48.0 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,785 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.46
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	Upside Gap Three Method	candlestick	1.41
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.26
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.16
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	0.96
▼	Evening Doji Star	candlestick	0.94
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	0.93
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	0.93
▼	Evening Star	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPSolid trend

UPExtremely strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 30-minute SELL signal is a short-term pullback signal, not a trend reversal, as all timeframes remain bullish.
Key support to watch is at 4.81000; a hold above it suggests the pullback is shallow.
The signal is weak (61% probability) and based on overbought exits, so it may be a minor dip within an uptrend.
The daily trend is extremely strong, so any sell should be treated as a potential entry for buyers at support.

The SELL signal on NEA/RUSDT at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a cluster of overbought exit signals, including the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, KDJ OB Exit, HMA Retreat Down, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum has stalled and that a short-term pullback is likely. However, the signal's probability is only 61% with weak strength, indicating that the bearish setup lacks strong conviction.

Notably, the broader trend across all timeframes is bullish, with the daily chart showing an extremely strong uptrend (5/5) and the 8h, 12h, 1h, 30m, and 15m all displaying solid trends. This creates a conflict: the 30-minute sell signal is counter to the dominant higher-timeframe bullish bias. The nearest support is at 4.81000, which serves as a critical level to watch. If the price holds above this support, the pullback may be shallow and the bullish trend could resume. Conversely, a break below this level could signal a deeper correction, but given the strong daily trend, such a move would likely be temporary.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought indicators (WILLR, KDJ, ZSCORE) align to signal a short-term exhaustion.
▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down and HMA Retreat Down confirm a loss of buying pressure.
▼ The confluence of these signals on the 30-minute chart increases the likelihood of a pullback.
▼ The nearest support at 4.81000 provides a defined target for the pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend across all timeframes, especially the extremely strong daily trend, could overwhelm the short-term sell signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak, meaning the bearish momentum may be limited.
▲ If the price fails to break below support and instead bounces, the sell signal could be invalidated.
▲ Conflicting higher timeframes (1h, 4h) show solid bullish trends, which may cap the downside.