USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-05 09:00 UTC 1 hour ago

39.7 % ↑ +4.4 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 23 % (3.58) ▼ Bearish 77 % (12.04)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 27.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.27
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.43
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.31
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	0.98
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	0.86
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

UPSolid trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart align with a solid bearish trend on 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes.
The signal is a counter-trend move against the bullish 8h, 12h, and 1d trends, so expect potential resistance from higher timeframes.
Nearest support at 0.82684 is the key level to watch for a breakdown or a bounce.
The strong signal strength (77% probability) suggests a high-confidence setup, but confirmation from price action is essential.

The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and multiple momentum crossovers (DI, DM, STOCHF), alongside a retreat from both the EMA 200 and SMA 200. The HT TRENDMODE shift to 'Trend' and the CTI OB Exit reinforce the bearish case, while the confluence of indicator and candlestick signals points to a strong selling opportunity. The 30-minute trend is bearish and forming, aligning with the 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes, which all show solid bearish trends. However, the 15-minute and higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, creating a mixed backdrop that suggests this is a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend, so the downside may be limited.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 0.82684 and resistance at 0.82979. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the path for further declines, while a bounce off support could signal a reversal. The strong trend scores on the mid-term timeframes support the bearish case, but the bullish higher timeframes and the proximity of support warrant caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, DI, DM, STOCHF) and a retreat from both 200-period moving averages.
▼ HT TRENDMODE shift to 'Trend' and CTI OB Exit add weight to the bearish momentum.
▼ Alignment of bearish trends across the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes.
▼ Strong signal strength (77%) and 'strong' rating indicate robust technical conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 15-minute trend is bullish, suggesting short-term buying pressure may counter the sell signal.
▲ If price holds above support at 0.82684, the bearish move may stall and reverse.
▲ Fading momentum or a failure to break below support could invalidate the signal.