AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
46 minutes ago
35.3 % ↓ −20.4 zur Vorkerze
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 34 % (4.18) ▼ Bearish 66 % (8.01)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 4.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.5 % vs 20.0 % average · stopped out 15.9 % vs 12.1 % (Forex, 232 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CTI OB Exit indicator 2.45
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.77
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.73
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.73
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.94
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.88

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish indicators and a Bearish Harami signal a potential short-term reversal on the 30M chart.
  • The 12H and daily trends are bearish, supporting the sell signal, but the lower timeframes are still bullish and choppy.
  • Watch for a break below 0.99133 to confirm the move; a hold above 0.99433 would invalidate.
  • Strength is moderate, so wait for confirmation before entering.
The AUD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down, CTI OB Exit, and a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern. While the stochastic KD Cross Up is a counter-trend bounce signal, the overall confluence points to a potential short-term pullback. The trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish but choppy (score 1/5) from 15m to 8h, while the 12h and daily timeframes are bearish, suggesting that the immediate bullish momentum may be fading and aligning with a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.99433 and support at 0.99133. A break below support would confirm the bearish reversal, while a hold above resistance could invalidate the signal. The moderate strength and 65% probability indicate that traders should exercise caution and wait for confirmation, as the higher timeframe trend is not fully aligned with the 30-minute bearish bias.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicator signals (BOP, STOCHRSI, DEMA, HT SINE, CTI) and a candlestick pattern.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe (12H and daily) trends are bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
  • ▼ CTI OB Exit suggests overbought conditions are unwinding, adding downside pressure.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 8h) remain bullish, which could limit the downside or cause a bounce.
  • ▲ The stochastic KD Cross Up is a conflicting bullish signal, indicating possible short-term strength.
  • ▲ If price holds above resistance at 0.99433, the bearish scenario is invalidated.
  • ▲ Choppy, sideways conditions across most timeframes reduce the reliability of the trend.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-06 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99433 2026-10-05
S1 0.99133 2026-10-06
S2 0.99082 2026-10-05
S3 0.99042 2026-10-05

Tags

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