EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-06 09:00 UTC 48 minutes ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +24% Scalping

▲ Bullish 79 % (28.60) ▼ Bearish 21 % (7.61)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 14.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.1 % vs 20.0 % average · stopped out 16.7 % vs 12.1 % (Forex, 221 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Symmetrical Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.53
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.53
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.47
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.42
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.41
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.40
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.38
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.36
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.35
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.31
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.27
▲	Hammer	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish 30M signals suggest a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is bearish.
Key resistance at 177.43900; a break could extend the move, but it's a tough barrier.
Support at 177.03200 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish setup.
Expect choppy price action; the 30M trend is weak, so the move may lack momentum.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Symmetrical Triangle breakout, BOP Zero Cross Up, and multiple moving average and stochastic crossovers. These signals suggest a potential short-term bounce within a broader bearish trend. The immediate resistance at 177.43900 is the key hurdle; a break above could open the door for further upside, while support at 177.03200 is the critical level to watch for invalidation.

However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bearish, with solid trends on the 2H through daily charts. This creates a conflicting backdrop, as the bullish 30M signal is likely a counter-trend move. The 1H chart is bullish but choppy, offering some support, but the overall trend alignment is weak. Traders should treat this as a scalp opportunity, with tight risk management, and be prepared for the bearish higher-timeframe trend to resume.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously (triangle breakout, BOP, crossovers) increase confidence.
▲ The 1H chart is bullish, providing some alignment for a short-term push higher.
▲ Price is above the nearest support, and the bullish signals suggest buyers are stepping in.
▲ The signal strength is strong, with a high probability score, indicating robust technical confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ The 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and daily charts are all bearish with solid trends, which could overwhelm the 30M bullish signal.
▼ The 30M trend itself is bearish and choppy, so the bullish signals may be a false breakout or a weak counter-trend move.
▼ Resistance at 177.43900 is close, and if price fails there, the bounce could fade quickly.
▼ A break below support at 177.03200 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend.