GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-06 09:00 UTC 48 minutes ago

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 96 % (24.81) ▼ Bearish 4 % (0.92)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 96.4 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.1 % vs 20.0 % average · stopped out 16.7 % vs 12.1 % (Forex, 221 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.08
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.91
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.90
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.89
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.88
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.87
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.45
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.05
▲	Hammer	candlestick	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term bounce.
The 1-hour trend is bullish, but higher timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 209.315; a break could extend gains, while support at 208.603 is the invalidation level.
Given the mixed trend picture, keep position sizes small and use tight stops.

The 30-minute GBP/JPY chart is flashing a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, and an EMA Retreat Up, alongside a DI Cross Down and DM Cross Down. These indicators collectively suggest that buying pressure is reasserting itself after a pullback, with momentum turning upward. The retreat signals on the upper Bollinger Band, EMA, HT Trendline, and KAMA further reinforce the idea that the recent downside move is losing steam and that price is poised to advance.

However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 1-hour chart is bullish (albeit choppy), the 15-minute, 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are all bearish, with the daily showing a solid downtrend. This means the current bullish signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 209.315 is a key hurdle; a break above it could signal a more sustained reversal, while failure to hold above the nearest support at 208.603 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should treat this as a short-term long opportunity within a broader downtrend, using tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, DI/DM) align in the bullish direction.
▲ Retreat signals on EMA, KAMA, and HT Trendline suggest the pullback is losing force.
▲ The 1-hour timeframe is bullish, providing some higher-timeframe support.
▲ Signal strength is strong, with a high probability score.

Risk Factors

▼ The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, including the daily, which could overwhelm this counter-trend bounce.
▼ The 15-minute and 2-hour timeframes are also bearish, indicating conflicting signals in the near term.
▼ If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 209.315, the bounce could fizzle out.
▼ A close below the nearest support at 208.603 would invalidate the bullish setup.