SOL/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-06 10:30 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % ↓ −25.3 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 21 % (4.99) ▼ Bearish 79 % (19.27)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 18.2 % vs 33.2 % average · stopped out 28.9 % vs 20.9 % (Crypto, 1,140 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.27
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.22
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.16
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.28
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.13
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bearish signal on the 30m chart, but higher timeframes remain bullish.
Choppy, sideways conditions across most timeframes reduce signal reliability.
Watch key support at 118.93 and resistance at 121.59 for direction.
Weak signal strength suggests limited downside potential.

The 30-minute SELL signal on SOL/USDT is driven by a cluster of bearish momentum and trend indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, and multiple moving average retreats, suggesting short-term selling pressure. However, the MACD and Stochastic KD crosses are up, indicating a potential short-term bounce within the broader downtrend. The signal's weak strength and 57% probability reflect a lack of strong conviction, consistent with the choppy, sideways conditions seen on the 15m to 2h timeframes.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is bullish, with the 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d all showing bullish trends, albeit with varying strength. This creates a conflict between the short-term bearish signal and the longer-term bullish trend, suggesting the sell-off may be a pullback within an uptrend rather than a reversal. Key levels to monitor are resistance at 121.59 and support at 118.93; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a hold above could see the pullback fade.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA 50, MA, SMA 200) confirm short-term downtrend.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure in the current session.
▼ Higher timeframe bullish trends provide a backdrop for a potential bounce.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe bullish trends could invalidate the bearish signal, leading to a reversal.
▲ MACD and Stochastic crosses up suggest a possible short-term bounce.
▲ Choppy, sideways conditions may cause the signal to whipsaw.
▲ A break above resistance at 121.59 would negate the bearish setup.