TRX/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-06 08:00 UTC 1 hour ago

52.8 % – erste Kerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +11% Intraday

▲ Bullish 43 % (8.87) ▼ Bearish 57 % (11.53)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

48.7% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 56.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 33.2 % average · stopped out 47.1 % vs 20.9 % (Crypto, 1,863 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.92
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.88
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.42
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.09
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.00
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is building on the 2H chart, but the broader trend remains bullish across most timeframes.
Watch the 0.33500 support—a break below could signal a deeper correction, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
The signal is weak (56% probability), so position sizing should be conservative.
Higher timeframe trends are choppy, reducing conviction in a sustained downtrend.

The 2H TRX/USDT signal fires a cluster of bearish momentum and volatility retreat signals: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, and EMA 200 Retreat Down, alongside several zero-cross signals (MOM, ROC, ROCR) that are actually up—indicating a short-term pullback within a broader bullish trend. The candlestick group adds confirmation of selling pressure near the upper Bollinger Band. The trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish, but with weakening trend scores on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D are choppy/sideways), suggesting the bearish signal may be a corrective move rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 0.33750 and support at 0.33500. A break below support could open the door for a deeper pullback, while a hold above support would likely see the bullish trend resume. Given the weak signal strength (56%) and the bullish alignment on lower timeframes, traders should treat this as a short-term counter-trend opportunity with tight risk management.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators align on the 2H chart (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS, EMA 200).
▼ Candlestick patterns confirm selling pressure near resistance.
▼ Immediate resistance at 0.33750 provides a clear invalidation level for shorts.
▼ The signal fires after a period of upward movement, suggesting a potential mean reversion.

Risk Factors

▲ The trend is bullish on all timeframes from 15m to 4H, which could overpower the bearish signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak (56%), and the momentum zero-cross signals are actually up, indicating conflicting momentum.
▲ A break above 0.33750 would invalidate the bearish setup and likely trigger a continuation higher.
▲ Higher timeframe trends are choppy, so the pullback may be shallow and short-lived.