EUR/AUD – 2H – SELL
SELL NEW
49 minutes ago
61.0 %
– erste Kerze
▲ Bullish 4 % (4.11)
▼ Bearish 96 % (100.83)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
55.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 96.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(7 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout | indicator | 2.94 |
| ▼ | BBANDS LOWER Break Down | indicator | 2.67 |
| ▼ | EMA Break Down | indicator | 2.67 |
| ▼ | MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.67 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.60 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.58 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.51 |
| ▼ | EMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▼ | MA Break Down | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.31 |
| ▼ | SMA Break Down | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | VORTEX Cross Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | RSX Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▲ | ZSCORE Extreme Low | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | Long Line Bearish | candlestick | 1.16 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish momentum across multiple timeframes, with a very strong signal on the 2H chart.
- A dense cluster of indicators (Aroon, DX, MACD, Williams %R, Bollinger Bands, EMA) all point to continued downside.
- Resistance at 1.61456 is the key level to watch; a break above it would signal a potential reversal.
- No defined support level means downside targets are open, but the daily trend is still choppy.
The EUR/AUD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by an Aroon Cross Down and Aroon Strong Downtrend, confirming that the pair is in a firmly established downtrend. This is reinforced by a DX Trend Strong reading, a MACD Signal Cross Down, and a Williams %R oversold entry, while a break below the lower Bollinger Band and an EMA breakdown highlight sustained downside momentum. The confluence across indicator, divergence, and candlestick groups adds weight to the bearish case, with the trend aligned across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to 8 hours, all showing solid or forming bearish trends. The daily timeframe remains choppy and sideways, but the lower timeframes are in agreement, suggesting the current move has room to extend.
Key levels to monitor: the nearest resistance sits at 1.61456, which now acts as a critical pivot — a reclaim of this level would signal a potential trend reversal and invalidate the bearish setup. With no nearest support defined, traders should watch for the next lower support level to form, as the pair continues to make lower lows. The strength of the signal (96% probability, very strong) and the alignment across multiple timeframes support a continuation of the downtrend, but the lack of a clear support level means downside targets are less defined, and the daily choppiness warrants caution against overextending short positions.
Key levels to monitor: the nearest resistance sits at 1.61456, which now acts as a critical pivot — a reclaim of this level would signal a potential trend reversal and invalidate the bearish setup. With no nearest support defined, traders should watch for the next lower support level to form, as the pair continues to make lower lows. The strength of the signal (96% probability, very strong) and the alignment across multiple timeframes support a continuation of the downtrend, but the lack of a clear support level means downside targets are less defined, and the daily choppiness warrants caution against overextending short positions.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes from 15m to 8h, all bearish.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple signal types (indicator, divergence, candlestick) all pointing the same direction.
- ▼ Strong trend scores (DX Trend Strong) and Aroon Strong Downtrend confirm momentum.
- ▼ Break below lower Bollinger Band and EMA breakdown indicate accelerating downside pressure.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Daily timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could cap the downside or lead to a reversal.
- ▲ The Williams %R oversold entry suggests the market may be due for a short-term bounce.
- ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 1.61456, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the lower timeframes start to show weakening trend scores.
Symbol
EUR/AUD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-10-07 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.61456 | 2026-10-06 |
| R2 | 1.63352 | 2026-09-30 |