EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-07 20:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 96 % (21.46) ▼ Bearish 4 % (0.90)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.7 % average · stopped out 13.7 % vs 11.5 % (Forex, 271 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.46
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.45
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.44
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.42
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.42
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.91
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish indicators align on the 30-minute chart, signaling strong short-term buying momentum.
Higher timeframes (1H to Daily) are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.12768; a break above could extend the move, while a drop below 1.11647 would invalidate the signal.
Given the conflicting timeframes, treat this as a short-term opportunity with tight risk management.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, DI Cross Up, DM Cross Up, and a STOCH KD Cross Up, alongside multiple moving-average retreat signals (DEMA, KAMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT). This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators suggests strong buying pressure at the 30-minute level. The signal probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, indicating that the technical conditions are exceptionally aligned in the short term.

However, the broader context is mixed. While the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are bullish, the higher timeframes—from 1-hour up to the daily—are bearish, with very strong bearish trends on the 8-hour and 12-hour charts. This creates a clear conflict: the short-term bullish signal is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.12768 is a critical level; a successful break above it could shift the balance, while failure to hold above support at 1.11647 would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 30-minute chart (BOP, DI, DM, STOCH KD, and moving-average retreats).
▲ Strong trend score on the 30-minute timeframe (3/5) supports the short-term bullish move.
▲ The signal probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, indicating high technical alignment.
▲ Potential for a rebound from oversold conditions, as suggested by the stochastic and momentum indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H to Daily) are bearish, with very strong bearish trends on 8H and 12H, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish move.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.12768 may cap upside; a failure to break above it could lead to a reversal.
▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 1.11647, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
▼ Counter-trend signals in a strong downtrend often fail, so momentum could fade quickly.