AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-08 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.09 %

Entry

0.99075

Target

0.98888 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99312 −0.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 3 % (1.28) ▼ Bearish 97 % (38.84)

model score 4.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	2.21
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	2.04
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	1.61
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.60
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.38
▼	SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	1.36
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.35
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.33

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicators aligned.
Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) are in a solid downtrend, but higher timeframes are choppy.
Key support at 0.98923; a break below could signal further downside.
Resistance at 0.99312 is the immediate upside barrier.

The AUD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a StochRSI cross down, Williams %R exiting overbought territory, a break below the lower Bollinger Band, and retreats from multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) as well as a trendline. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to strong selling pressure in the short term. The bearish outlook is reinforced by a solid downtrend across the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes, with the 2-hour timeframe beginning to form a bearish trend. However, higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain choppy and sideways, suggesting the current move is primarily a short-term correction within a larger range.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.99312 and support at 0.98923. A sustained break below support could open the door for further downside, while a bounce at support might lead to a retest of resistance. The alignment of multiple indicators and the solid short-term trend increase the probability of the bearish move continuing, but the lack of trend confirmation on higher timeframes warrants caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of over 15 bearish signals including StochRSI, Williams %R, Bollinger Bands, and multiple moving averages.
▼ Solid bearish trend across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes.
▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band suggests increased downside volatility.
▼ 2-hour timeframe is starting to form a bearish trend, potentially aligning with the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H and above) are choppy and sideways, which could limit the follow-through.
▲ Price is near support at 0.98923; a bounce here could invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Overbought/oversold conditions may lead to a short-term pullback or consolidation.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.99312, the bearish signal would be weakened.