BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-08 20:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %

Entry

81,768.00

Target

81,537.03 +0.28 %

closes in profit

Stop

86,698.99 −6.03 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 7,544 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,544 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

35 % at target avg +1.08 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −27.9 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 13 % (3.23) ▼ Bearish 87 % (21.80)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	1.23
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30M chart, including BOP, STOCH, and EMA retreats, point to continued downside.
Bearish trends across 15M to 12H timeframes confirm the short-term downtrend, though the 1D is still bullish.
Resistance at 86698.99 is the key level to watch; a break above it could invalidate the bearish setup.
No clear support level nearby means downside risk is open, so manage risk carefully.

The 30-minute chart for BTC/USDT has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and EMA Retreat Down, alongside retreats from the SMA and HT trendline. These signals align with a bearish trend across the lower timeframes, with the 30M and 1H showing very strong bearish trends (4/5). The confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators suggests that sellers are in control, and the price is likely to continue lower in the near term.

Key levels to watch include the nearest resistance at 86698.99, which could act as a ceiling for any bounce. The absence of a defined nearest support level means that downside targets are less clear, increasing the risk of a deeper decline. However, the 1D timeframe remains bullish, indicating that this bearish move may be a correction within a larger uptrend. Traders should monitor whether the price respects the resistance level and whether bearish momentum persists.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend scores on 30M, 1H, and 2H timeframes (4/5) support the sell signal.
▼ Multiple indicator groups (momentum and trend) are aligned in the same direction, increasing signal reliability.
▼ Retreat from the EMA and SMA, as well as the HT trendline, indicates that price is pulling back from key dynamic resistance levels.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1D timeframe is still bullish, which could mean this is just a pullback within a larger uptrend.
▲ The signal strength is weak, and the probability is only 61%, so the signal may not play out as expected.
▲ A break above resistance at 86698.99 would invalidate the bearish outlook and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum indicators like MOM and ROC have crossed up, suggesting that downside momentum may be slowing.