EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED

2026-10-08 06:30 UTC 6 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.10 %

Entry

177.169

Target

176.548 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

178.307 −0.64 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 13 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 10 % (5.05) ▼ Bearish 90 % (48.06)

model score 90.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 14 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.38
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.86
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.83

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30M chart, including a Bearish Engulfing and multiple moving average retreats, points to a high-probability sell setup.
Higher timeframes (1H and above) are solidly bearish, supporting the short-term downside bias.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 178.307 and support at 176.548.
The signal probability is 79% with strong strength, indicating a robust confluence of factors.
catalysts
Strong bearish trend alignment across multiple higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, 1D).
Multiple indicators converging: BOP, STOCHF, EMA/SMA retreats, and HMA all point to selling pressure.
Bearish Engulfing pattern provides a clear candlestick confirmation of bearish reversal.
HT SINE signals suggest a cyclical top, adding to the bearish case.
risks
The 15M and 30M timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce before the downtrend resumes.
If price fails to break below the 30M EMA/SMA cluster, the bearish setup may be invalidated.
A break above the nearest resistance at 178.307 would negate the bearish outlook.
Momentum could fade if the STOCHF enters oversold territory without further downside follow-through.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern and reinforced by a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and retreats from both the EMA 200 and SMA 200. The presence of a HMA Retreat Down along with HT SINE Cross Up and Zero Cross Up adds a cyclical component, suggesting that the short-term pullback may be part of a broader corrective phase within the larger downtrend.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is solid from 1H upward, with the 1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all showing solid bearish trends. The 15M and 30M are still bullish but trend-forming, which could mean the immediate upside is limited and the bearish pressure from higher timeframes is likely to dominate. The nearest resistance sits at 178.307, while support is at 176.548. A break below the 30M EMA/SMA cluster would confirm the bearish momentum, and a move toward the support zone is the logical target, but traders should watch for a failure to hold below the moving averages, which would invalidate the setup.

Symbol EUR/JPY

Timeframe 30M

Direction SELL

Conviction 91%

Strength VERY STRONG

Date 2026-10-08 06:30

cat_ Forex Forex