USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %
Entry
1.42473
Target
1.42040 +0.30 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.42809 −0.24 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,343 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,343 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Break Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), SUPERTREND Flip Bearish +23 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 18,659 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +7.4 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +40% Scalping
▲ Bullish 6 % (3.18) ▼ Bearish 94 % (46.61)
model score 93.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 11.6 % (forex, 287 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 94%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.36
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.26
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 2.22
▼ SUPERTREND Flip Bearish indicator 2.21
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.78
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.73
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.70
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.49
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.46
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.34
▼ AROON Cross Down indicator 1.30
▼ AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.30
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.28
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.26
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 1.21
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.17
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.92

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPVery strong trend
12H
UPVery strong trend
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart, but higher timeframes remain bullish.
  • Watch the 1.42395 support; a break could signal deeper correction.
  • Resistance at 1.42809 is the immediate upside level to monitor.
  • The trend alignment is conflicting: short-term bearish vs. long-term bullish.
The 30-minute USD/CAD chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including AROON Cross Down, AROON Strong Downtrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, and MOM Zero Cross Down, among 21 additional indicators. This confluence points to strong short-term selling pressure. However, the higher timeframe trend remains bullish, with the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes all showing solid bullish trends. The 30m bearish move appears to be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, rather than a reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.42809 and support at 1.42395. A break below support could extend the correction, while a hold above it might see the bullish trend resume.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicator confirmations (AROON, BOP, CMO, DI, DM, MOM) all pointing down.
  • ▼ Fibonacci and candlestick patterns add confluence to the bearish case.
  • ▼ Probability score of 92% and 'very strong' signal strength suggest high conviction.
  • ▼ The 30-minute trend is bearish, aligning with the signal direction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside.
  • ▲ The 30m trend is 'choppy/sideways' (1/5), indicating weak trend quality.
  • ▲ A break above the 1.42809 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if price holds above the 1.42395 support.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-08 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.42809 2026-10-07
R2 1.42853 2026-10-06
R3 1.42938 2026-10-05
S1 1.42395 2026-10-08
S2 1.42040 2026-10-07

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