BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-09 12:00 UTC 57 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %

Entry

83,109.71

Target

81,603.52 +1.81 %

closes in profit

Stop

86,698.99 −4.32 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (4 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 8

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 7,829 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,829 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

35 % at target avg +1.08 % 20 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat +3 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,441 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % ↑ +3.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 13 % (1.57) ▼ Bearish 87 % (10.63)

model score 87.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.10
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.41
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.40
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30m chart point to a short-term pullback.
Mixed trend alignment: short-term bullish, mid-term bearish, daily bullish.
Watch the 81603.52 support; a break below intensifies bearish momentum.
Resistance at 86698.99 caps upside unless broken.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing to a short-term pullback within a broader conflicting trend structure. The BOP Zero Cross Down and ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up both confirm selling pressure, while the RSI OB Exit and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate that the recent upside momentum has stalled from overbought conditions. The EMA 200 Retreat Down, along with the ACCBANDS UPPER and KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreats, shows that price has been rejected from the upper boundaries of these volatility bands, and the ZSCORE Extreme High Exit adds a statistical warning that price has moved too far above its mean. Together, these signals suggest that the immediate bias is bearish, with a likely retracement toward the nearest support at 81603.52.

However, the trend alignment across timeframes is mixed, which tempers the reliability of this sell signal. The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are still bullish, though with weakening trend scores (3/5, 2/5, 2/5), while the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes are bearish, and the daily is bullish. This creates a tug-of-war: the longer-term bearish structure on the 2h-12h charts supports the sell, but the higher-timeframe bullish bias on the daily and the short-term bullish momentum could limit downside. The key level to watch is the support at 81603.52; a break below that would strengthen the bearish case, while a hold could lead to a bounce. Resistance at 86698.99 remains the immediate upside barrier.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of eight bearish signals (BOP, RSI, STOCHF, EMA, ERI, ACCBANDS, KELTNER, ZSCORE) on the 30m timeframe.
▼ Bearish trend alignment across the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h timeframes.
▼ Price rejected from upper volatility bands (ACCBANDS and KELTNER) and extreme ZSCORE levels.

Risk Factors

▲ Conflicting bullish trends on the 15m, 30m, 1h, and daily timeframes could limit downside.
▲ If price holds above the 81603.52 support, the sell signal may fade and a bounce could occur.
▲ A break above the 86698.99 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum signals (RSI, STOCHF) are already overbought; a quick reversal could happen.