USD/CHF – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %
Entry
0.83308
Target
0.83826 +0.62 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.82273 −1.24 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 316 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
24 % at target avg +0.39 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 34 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.32 % 16 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Break Up, MA Break Up, HT TRENDLINE Break Up +16 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 91 % (48.68) ▼ Bearish 9 % (4.66)
model score 91.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/CHF  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ EMA Break Up indicator 2.83
▲ MA Break Up indicator 2.78
▲ HT TRENDLINE Break Up indicator 2.74
▲ MIDPRICE Break Up indicator 2.64
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 2.56
▲ KAMA Break Up indicator 2.55
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.53
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.36
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.30
▲ DEMA Break Up indicator 2.26
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 2.03
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 2.00
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 2.00
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 2.00
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.87
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.84
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.80
▲ MAMA Cross Up indicator 1.63
▼ ADX Trend Weak indicator 1.43
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.43
▼ KDJ OB Entry indicator 1.22
▼ Advance Block candlestick 1.10
▼ Deliberation candlestick 0.77

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum on the 4H with multiple breakout signals and a very strong strength score.
  • Lower timeframes (15m–1h) are in solid uptrends, supporting the immediate bullish bias.
  • Resistance at 0.83467 is the immediate upside target; a break above it would confirm the move.
  • The 4H trend is still bearish/choppy, so watch for a potential pullback to support at 0.82273.
The USD/CHF 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish momentum and trend-following indicators, including MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, and multiple moving-average breakouts (DEMA, EMA, KAMA). The ADX Trend Weak reading suggests the move is early, but the sheer number of signals and the very strong strength score point to a decisive shift in momentum. Price has broken above key short-term moving averages, and a bullish candlestick pattern reinforces the upside bias.

Across timeframes, the bullish case is supported by solid uptrends on the 15m, 30m, and 1h charts, with trend formation on the 2h, 12h, and 1d. However, the 4H itself remains bearish and choppy, which is a cautionary note. The nearest resistance at 0.83467 is the immediate hurdle; a break above it would confirm the higher-timeframe shift. Support at 0.82273 is the key invalidation zone, and as long as price holds above it, the bullish momentum remains intact.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of bullish momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing zero/up.
  • ▲ Multiple moving-average breakouts (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) aligning with the bullish direction.
  • ▲ Bullish candlestick pattern adds confirmation to the signal.
  • ▲ Solid uptrends on 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes provide a strong foundation.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 4H trend is still bearish and choppy, which could cap upside or lead to a reversal.
  • ▼ ADX Trend Weak indicates the trend is not yet strong; momentum could fade quickly.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.82273 would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ The 8H timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear direction on a higher level.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 91%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-12 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83467 2026-10-08
R2 0.83826 2026-10-01
S1 0.82273 2026-10-02
S2 0.82076 2026-09-21
S3 0.80672 2026-09-09

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