EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-13 06:00 UTC 46 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

1.11749

Target

1.11522 +0.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12173 −0.38 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,522 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,522 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 9 % (1.39) ▼ Bearish 91 % (13.64)

model score 11.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.22
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.39
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.38
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.31
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.30

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30m chart, led by a Trendline Break Down and multiple momentum/MA retreats.
Higher timeframes (2h and above) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal, while lower timeframes are still bullish—watch for a potential pullback before continuation.
Key levels: resistance at 1.12173, support at 1.11522. A break below support likely confirms the bearish move.
The signal's very strong strength and high probability suggest high conviction, but lower timeframe bullishness adds some uncertainty.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a host of momentum and moving average retreats (BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down). This confluence suggests a strong shift in short-term momentum, with the price breaking a key trendline and multiple indicators aligning to the downside. The signal's very strong strength and 90% probability reflect the breadth of the bearish confirmation.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on the higher timeframes. The 15m, 30m, and 1h charts are still bullish, but the 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d all show bearish trends, with the 8h, 12h, and 1d being very strong. This suggests that the current sell signal is likely a correction within a larger bearish trend, aligning with the higher-timeframe direction. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12173 and support at 1.11522; a break below support could accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish case.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish trend on higher timeframes (2h to 1d) aligns with the sell signal, providing a macro tailwind.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicators (MACD, STOCH, BOP, moving averages) all pointing down on the 30m chart.
▼ Trendline Break Down is a classic bearish pattern, often leading to sustained moves.
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability indicate robust technical confirmation.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or a false breakdown.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 1.12173, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Momentum on the lower timeframes may be fading, as the MACD Zero Cross Up suggests a potential bullish crossover despite the overall bearish signal.
▲ The 30m signal is short-term; a move back above the broken trendline would negate the signal.