USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-13 06:00 UTC 49 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

158.296

Target

158.752 +0.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.520 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,522 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,522 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), CMO OS Exit, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit +10 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +29% Scalping

▲ Bullish 92 % (27.06) ▼ Bearish 8 % (2.27)

model score 92.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.9 % vs 17.6 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 11.4 % (forex, 393 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.28
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	2.16
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	2.10
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.06
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.90
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.82
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.81
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.78
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.59
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	Bullish Separating Lines	candlestick	1.34
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.29
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.16

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Oversold oscillators across multiple indicators are aligning for a short-term bounce.
The 30m trend is bearish, so this is a counter-trend long, not a reversal signal.
Resistance at 158.75200 is the key upside barrier; support at 158.07600 is the invalidation zone.
Higher timeframes are mixed, so expect limited upside unless resistance breaks.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of oversold-exit signals, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and KDJ OS Exit, alongside an EMA 20/50 Death Cross and an ER Level Cross Down. This combination typically marks a short-term bounce within a larger downtrend. The immediate trend across 15m, 30m, and 1h is bearish, with the 15m showing very strong trend strength (4/5), while higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish but choppy. The signal suggests a corrective up-move within the prevailing bearish structure, not a trend reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.75200 and support at 158.07600. A break above resistance could signal a deeper retracement, while a hold below it maintains the bearish bias. The confluence of multiple oversold oscillators and the Fibonacci-based signal group adds weight to the bounce scenario, but the Death Cross on the 30m EMA 20/50 reminds that the broader trend remains down. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend long with a tight risk profile, watching for momentum to fade near resistance.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exits (RSI, CMO, WILLR, KDJ, STOCH) confirm a momentum shift upward.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicates buying pressure is turning positive.
▲ Fibonacci signals add confluence to the bounce scenario.
▲ Very strong signal strength (90% probability) suggests high conviction in the short-term move.

Risk Factors

▼ The 30m EMA 20/50 Death Cross and ER Level Cross Down indicate the broader trend is still bearish.
▼ Higher timeframe trends are mixed; the 1h bearish trend could cap upside.
▼ A drop below support at 158.07600 would invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the bounce fails to break resistance at 158.75200.