BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY
BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal
Running · now −0.29 %
Entry
83,462.01
Target
83,850.00 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
82,972.74 −0.59 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,722 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 8,722 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.09 %
21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.05 %
23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 %
23 % at stop avg −1.52 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: TSI Zero Cross Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, AROON Strong Uptrend +26 more
Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.0 %
↓ −18.2 vs previous candle
WEAK
Scalping
▲ Bullish 70 % (14.42)
▼ Bearish 30 % (6.09)
model score 15.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 17.1 % vs 32.8 % on average · stopped out 30.6 % vs 21.3 % (crypto, 1,508 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(14 Oct 2026, 00:32 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish momentum on the 30m chart with a high-probability signal cluster.
- Higher timeframes remain bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce.
- Watch resistance at 83,850 and support at 82,972.74 for direction confirmation.
- A break below support invalidates the bullish signal.
The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including AROON Cross Up, AROON Strong Uptrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, DI Cross, and DM Cross, alongside additional indicator and candlestick confirmations. This breadth of momentum and trend-strength signals suggests a strong short-term buying impulse. However, the higher timeframes (1h through 1d) remain bearish, with only the 15m and 30m showing bullish but choppy conditions. The signal's high probability (98%) and very strong strength indicate robust alignment on the 30m, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend warrants caution.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 83,850 and support at 82,972.74. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal and could attract further upside, while a break below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the bearish higher timeframes, this appears to be a counter-trend bounce within a larger decline, so traders should manage risk tightly and watch for momentum to fade near resistance.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 83,850 and support at 82,972.74. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal and could attract further upside, while a break below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the bearish higher timeframes, this appears to be a counter-trend bounce within a larger decline, so traders should manage risk tightly and watch for momentum to fade near resistance.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (AROON, CCI, CMO, BOP) all crossing zero or signaling uptrend simultaneously.
- ▲ DI and DM crosses confirm bullish directional movement on the 30m.
- ▲ Bullish candlestick patterns add confluence to the indicator signals.
- ▲ High signal probability (98%) and very strong strength suggest robust short-term momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (1h to 1d) are bearish, increasing the risk of a failed bounce.
- ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes could lead to false signals or whipsaws.
- ▼ Resistance at 83,850 may cap upside and trigger a reversal.
- ▼ A break below support at 82,972.74 would invalidate the bullish setup.
Symbol
BTC/USDT
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Conviction
15%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-10-14 00:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 83,850.00000 | 2026-10-13 |
| R2 | 84,168.00000 | 2026-10-13 |
| R3 | 84,352.00000 | 2026-10-12 |
| S1 | 82,972.74000 | 2026-10-13 |
| S2 | 81,033.66000 | 2026-10-13 |