AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW
46 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.15 %
Entry
109.242
Target
108.707 +0.49 %
closes in profit
Stop
111.133 −1.73 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 606 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 606 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.42 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 14 % at stop avg −0.46 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
STRONG ⚡ Confluence +19% Intraday
▲ Bullish 17 % (6.01) ▼ Bearish 83 % (29.25)
model score 83.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.99
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.50
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.48
▼ SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross indicator 2.20
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.66
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.65
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.58
▼ TRIX Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.55
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.43
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.23
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.80
▼ SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators and timeframes.
  • Death Cross on 50/200 SMA adds long-term bearish weight.
  • Resistance at 111.133 and support at 108.707 are key levels.
  • High probability (83%) signal with strong momentum favors selling rallies.
The AUD/JPY 2H chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI exiting overbought territory, TRIX Zero Cross Down, and a Death Cross on the 50/200 SMA, alongside multiple moving average retreats. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and a well-established downtrend. The trend is bearish across all timeframes, with the strongest momentum on the 1H chart (4/5) and solid trends on the 30M and 2H charts (3/5). The alignment across multiple timeframes reinforces the bearish outlook.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.133 and the nearest support at 108.707. A break below support could extend the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The high probability (83%) and strong signal strength suggest the market is positioned for further downside, but traders should monitor for any signs of reversal, especially if price approaches support.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple bearish signals (BOP, CCI, TRIX, Death Cross) aligned.
  • ▼ Trend is bearish on all timeframes, with strongest momentum on 1H.
  • ▼ Price is below key moving averages, confirming downtrend.
  • ▼ High signal strength and probability indicate robust bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ If price breaks above 111.133 resistance, the bearish setup weakens.
  • ▲ Weaker trend scores on 8H (choppy) and 15M (forming) could lead to pullbacks.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade near support at 108.707, causing a bounce.
  • ▲ Any bullish reversal candlestick pattern could signal a short-term bottom.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 83%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-15 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.13300 2026-10-14
R2 112.30300 2026-09-21
S1 108.70700 2026-10-01

Tags

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