AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-15 06:00 UTC 40 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %

Entry

109.677

Target

109.470 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.133 −1.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,683 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,683 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 8 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 10 % (2.46) ▼ Bearish 90 % (21.29)

model score 89.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 03:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.36
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.83
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.04
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.71

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30M chart with 82% probability and strong strength.
Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) confirm downward momentum.
BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH OS Exit both align with the bearish view.
Watch the nearest resistance at 111.13300 as a potential entry or invalidation zone.

The 30-minute AUD/JPY chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, with a SELL direction and an 82% probability at strong strength. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure has overtaken buying, while the STOCH OS Exit suggests the stochastic oscillator is leaving oversold territory, which in a downtrend often acts as a bearish continuation rather than a reversal. The DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE Retreat Downs all show price retreating from these dynamic averages, confirming that the short-term trend is firmly lower. The confluence of these indicators, along with an additional candlestick signal, points to a strong bearish momentum.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is very strong on the 15m and 30m (4/5), solid on the 1h (3/5), and just forming on the 2h and 1d (2/5). However, the higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) are choppy/sideways, which limits the overall conviction. The nearest resistance sits at 111.13300, a level that could act as a ceiling if price retraces. With no defined support, downside targets are less clear, and the trade relies on momentum continuing. The alignment of multiple moving averages and the BOP/STOCH signals on the lower timeframes gives this a high probability, but the lack of support and higher timeframe confirmation warrant caution.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 10+ bearish signals across indicator and candlestick groups.
▼ Very strong bearish trend on 15m and 30m timeframes (4/5 trend score).
▼ Solid bearish trend on 1h (3/5) supports the short-term move.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down shows selling pressure is gaining.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) are choppy/sideways, which could cap the move.
▲ No defined support level means downside targets are unclear.
▲ STOCH OS Exit could signal a short-term bounce if oversold conditions persist.
▲ If price breaks above 111.13300, the bearish thesis weakens.