AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-15 05:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %

Entry

0.69499

Target

0.70132 +0.91 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69328 −0.25 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,683 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,683 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.24 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 41 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 8 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 87 % (17.63) ▼ Bearish 13 % (2.72)

model score 86.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 6.4 % vs 17.1 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 11.3 % (forex, 546 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.20
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	ZLMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.57
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.51
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.48
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.43
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.11
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.08
▲	Tweezers Bottom	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A confluence of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a potential short-term bounce in AUD/USD.
The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.70132 and support at 0.69460 for direction.
The Fibonacci Break UpTrend and Bullish Engulfing add weight to the bullish case, but confirmation is needed.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, HMA and ZLMA Retreat Up, ACCBANDS and KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, a Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 24% level, and a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. These signals collectively suggest that buying pressure is emerging after a period of decline, with the retreat of price into the lower bands of the ACCBANDS and KELTNER indicators indicating that the downside may be overextended. The Fibonacci break adds a layer of confluence, suggesting that the pair has reclaimed a key retracement level, while the Bullish Engulfing pattern confirms a shift in momentum on the 30-minute timeframe.

However, the broader trend context is bearish across all timeframes, from the 15-minute up to the daily, with trend scores ranging from 2/5 to 3/5. This means the bullish signals on the 30-minute chart are likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70132 is a critical level; if price fails to break above it, the bounce could falter. Conversely, the nearest support at 0.69460 is the immediate downside target if the bullish momentum fades. Traders should watch how price reacts at these levels, as a break above resistance could signal a deeper correction, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators align bullish on the 30-minute chart, including BOP, STOCHF, HMA, ZLMA, ACCBANDS, and KELTNER.
▲ The Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 24% level indicates a reclaim of a key retracement.
▲ The Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern signals a shift in momentum.
▲ The retreat into the lower bands of ACCBANDS and KELTNER suggests oversold conditions.

Risk Factors

▼ The bearish trend on higher timeframes (1h, 4h, daily) could overpower the 30-minute bullish signal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.70132 may cap upside and trigger a reversal.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 0.69460, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Trend scores are only 2/5 on many timeframes, indicating weak trend strength that could lead to choppy price action.