AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-15 13:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

0.69170

Target

0.69041 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69804 −0.92 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Triangle, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, T3 Break Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +25.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping

▲ Bullish 7 % (3.59) ▼ Bearish 93 % (49.93)

model score 93.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Descending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	4.09
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.13
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.12
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

AUD/USD is in a strong bearish trend across all timeframes, with a Descending Triangle on the 30-minute chart confirming the downside.
Multiple trend-following indicators (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA) are all retreating downward, signaling sustained selling pressure.
The nearest resistance at 0.69804 is the critical level to watch; a break above would negate the bearish signal.
The stochastic cross up may cause a short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a SELL signal with very strong conviction (91% probability), driven by a confluence of bearish signals. A Descending Triangle pattern, a classic bearish continuation setup, is supported by multiple trend-following indicators all retreating downward, including DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MAMA price. The stochastic KD cross up suggests a minor short-term bounce, but the overwhelming bearish alignment across indicators and the broader trend context point to continued downside pressure.

Trend analysis shows a consistent bearish bias across all major timeframes, from the 15-minute to the daily chart. The strongest bearish trends are on the 15-minute (4/5) and 30-minute, 1-hour, 12-hour, and daily (all 3/5) timeframes, while the 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour charts are forming bearish trends (2/5). This multi-timeframe alignment reinforces the bearish outlook. The nearest resistance is at 0.69804, which now serves as a key level to watch; a break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. With no clear support below, the pair may be entering a phase of accelerated downside movement.

Catalysts

▼ The Descending Triangle pattern is a well-known bearish continuation signal.
▼ All major timeframes align bearish, with the strongest trends on the 15-minute and daily charts.
▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA) all point downward, adding to the confluence.
▼ The high signal probability (91%) and very strong strength indicate robust bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.69804 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The stochastic KD cross up could signal a short-term bounce, leading to a temporary pullback.
▲ The 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour trends are only 'forming' (2/5), suggesting the bearish trend may not be fully established on those timeframes.
▲ If the price fails to break below recent lows, the Descending Triangle could fail, leading to a reversal.