ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 2× UPDATEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, WMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +7 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(15 Oct 2026, 01:02 UTC, updated 2× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | WMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.19 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.11 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.04 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.84 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- All timeframes are bearish, with the 30m, 1h, 4h, 8h, and 12h showing solid trends, so the downtrend is well-established.
- The cluster of signals (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, WMA, TTM TREND) all point to sustained selling pressure.
- Watch the 2413.52 support: a break could accelerate the decline, while 2530.44 is the immediate resistance to monitor for any bounce.
- The 100% probability and very strong strength indicate high confidence in the bearish move, but always manage risk.
Trend alignment across timeframes is strongly supportive of the bearish case. All timeframes from 15 minutes up to 1 day are bearish, with the 30m, 1h, 4h, 8h, and 12h all rated as solid trends (3/5). This broad agreement suggests the selling pressure is not just a short-term blip but part of a larger move. The nearest resistance sits at 2530.44, which now acts as a ceiling, while the nearest support at 2413.52 is the immediate downside target. A break below that support could open the door for further declines, but until then, the range between these levels is the key battleground.
- ▼ Broad trend alignment across timeframes, with most solid trends at 3/5, reinforces the bearish signal.
- ▼ Multiple indicator confirmations (BOP, CCI, STOCHF) all crossing down simultaneously increase conviction.
- ▼ Price retreating from key moving averages (EMA, KAMA, WMA) and the HT trendline suggests a strong pullback phase.
- ▼ TTM TREND Trend Down confirms the downtrend is active on the 30m chart.
- ▲ A break above the 2530.44 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal a reversal.
- ▲ The 15m and 2h trends are only 'trend forming' (2/5), so momentum could stall if higher timeframes fail to follow through.
- ▲ Oversold conditions from the STOCHF and CCI could lead to a short-term bounce, so watch for bullish divergence.
- ▲ If price holds above 2413.52 support, the bearish move may lose steam, leading to consolidation.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 2,530.44000 | 2026-10-14 |
| R2 | 2,538.52000 | 2026-10-13 |
| R3 | 2,579.88000 | 2026-10-12 |
| S1 | 2,413.52000 | 2026-10-14 |
| S2 | 2,409.09000 | 2026-10-13 |