ETH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.40 %
Entry
2,418.88
Target
2,409.09 +0.40 %
closes in profit
Stop
2,530.44 −4.61 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 8,892 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 8,892 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 22 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, WMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 22,209 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
67.1 % – vs previous candle
STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 6 % (1.72) ▼ Bearish 94 % (29.25)
model score 94.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
ETH/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 94%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 01:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.85
▼ WMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.34
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.28
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.19
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.11
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 1.04
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • All timeframes are bearish, with the 30m, 1h, 4h, 8h, and 12h showing solid trends, so the downtrend is well-established.
  • The cluster of signals (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, WMA, TTM TREND) all point to sustained selling pressure.
  • Watch the 2413.52 support: a break could accelerate the decline, while 2530.44 is the immediate resistance to monitor for any bounce.
  • The 100% probability and very strong strength indicate high confidence in the bearish move, but always manage risk.
A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the 30-minute chart for ETH/USDT, all pointing to sustained downward momentum. The BOP Zero Cross Down and CCI Zero Cross Down confirm sellers are in control, while the STOCHF KD Cross Down adds a short-term momentum shift. The EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, and WMA Retreat Down all indicate price is pulling back from key moving averages, reinforcing the bearish bias. The TTM TREND Trend Down further confirms the downtrend is active across the board.

Trend alignment across timeframes is strongly supportive of the bearish case. All timeframes from 15 minutes up to 1 day are bearish, with the 30m, 1h, 4h, 8h, and 12h all rated as solid trends (3/5). This broad agreement suggests the selling pressure is not just a short-term blip but part of a larger move. The nearest resistance sits at 2530.44, which now acts as a ceiling, while the nearest support at 2413.52 is the immediate downside target. A break below that support could open the door for further declines, but until then, the range between these levels is the key battleground.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Broad trend alignment across timeframes, with most solid trends at 3/5, reinforces the bearish signal.
  • ▼ Multiple indicator confirmations (BOP, CCI, STOCHF) all crossing down simultaneously increase conviction.
  • ▼ Price retreating from key moving averages (EMA, KAMA, WMA) and the HT trendline suggests a strong pullback phase.
  • ▼ TTM TREND Trend Down confirms the downtrend is active on the 30m chart.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ A break above the 2530.44 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal a reversal.
  • ▲ The 15m and 2h trends are only 'trend forming' (2/5), so momentum could stall if higher timeframes fail to follow through.
  • ▲ Oversold conditions from the STOCHF and CCI could lead to a short-term bounce, so watch for bullish divergence.
  • ▲ If price holds above 2413.52 support, the bearish move may lose steam, leading to consolidation.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 94%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-15 00:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,530.44000 2026-10-14
R2 2,538.52000 2026-10-13
R3 2,579.88000 2026-10-12
S1 2,413.52000 2026-10-14
S2 2,409.09000 2026-10-13

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