USD/CHF – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %
Entry
0.83028
Target
0.83950 +1.11 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.82781 −0.30 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, ALMA Break Up, SMA Break Up +13 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
53.6 % ↑ +18.3 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 60 % (5.51) ▼ Bearish 40 % (3.66)
model score 60.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
USD/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 60%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.45
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.25
▲ SMA Break Up indicator 2.01
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.83
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.60
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.58
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.57
▲ COPPOCK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.55
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.49
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.45
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.45
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.45
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.32
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.15
▲ Closing Marubozu Bullish candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bullish momentum cluster on the 30M chart suggests a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is bearish.
  • Key resistance at 0.83950; a break above it could signal a deeper reversal, while support at 0.82781 is the invalidation zone.
  • The signal is counter-trend relative to the 1h and 2h trends, so expect possible resistance and limited upside.
  • Watch for momentum confirmation on higher timeframes to validate whether this bounce turns into a trend reversal.
The 30-minute USD/CHF chart has triggered a cluster of bullish momentum signals, including CCI Zero Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, and ROCR Cross Up, alongside a BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up and SMA Break Up. These indicators collectively point to a short-term upward push, with the DEMA Retreat Up adding a trend-following confirmation. The signal's high probability and very strong strength suggest a robust confluence of momentum and trend-following tools, though the underlying 30-minute trend remains bearish, indicating this may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are bearish, while lower (15m) and longer (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish. This creates a tug-of-war, with the immediate bullish signal likely to face resistance at 0.83950. The nearest support at 0.82781 is a key level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should treat this as a short-term long opportunity with tight risk management, aware that the higher-timeframe downtrend may cap upside.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossed above zero, showing strong bullish momentum.
  • ▲ The BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up and SMA Break Up indicate price reclaiming key moving averages, supporting the bullish move.
  • ▲ The 15-minute timeframe is turning bullish, aligning with the 30M signal for a short-term push.
  • ▲ The signal's very strong strength and high probability suggest a high-conviction setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 30M, 1h, and 2h trends are bearish; this could be a counter-trend rally that fades at resistance.
  • ▼ Immediate resistance at 0.83950 may cap upside, and a failure to break above it could lead to a pullback.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.82781 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely accelerate selling.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe bearishness (1h/2h) may overpower the short-term bullish momentum, so watch for a reversal candle near resistance.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 60%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-15 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.82781 2026-10-15

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