USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-15 13:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.08 %

Entry

157.777

Target

158.949 +0.74 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.996 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 73 % (11.97) ▼ Bearish 27 % (4.40)

model score 73.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.0 % vs 18.1 % on average · stopped out 16.7 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 330 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.04
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.62
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.19
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish signals on the 30M chart suggests a short-term bounce within a larger bearish trend.
Resistance at 158.94900 is the immediate upside target; support at 157.58300 is the invalidation level.
Higher timeframes (1h, 2h) are bearish, so this is a counter-trend move with limited expected upside.
The 1d timeframe is bullish, adding a layer of complexity to the overall trend picture.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a Bullish Engulfing pattern, a Closing Marubozu, and a KDJ oversold exit, alongside a BOP zero cross up and a TEMA retreat up. These indicate a short-term upward correction within a broader bearish trend across most timeframes. The confluence of candlestick and momentum signals suggests that buyers are stepping in near the lower end of the recent range, with the nearest support at 157.58300 providing a potential floor. However, the higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) remain bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.94900, which aligns with the recent swing high and could cap upside, and support at 157.58300, which if broken would invalidate the bullish setup. The trend scores show weakening bearish momentum on the 4h and above, but the 1d is bullish, adding complexity. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, acknowledging that the dominant trend is still down and any rally may be limited.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals (Bullish Engulfing, Closing Marubozu, KDJ OS Exit) confirm buying pressure.
▲ BOP zero cross up and TEMA retreat up indicate improving momentum and a potential shift in flow.
▲ The 30M trend score is solid (3/5), suggesting the bounce has some strength behind it.
▲ Support at 157.58300 has held, providing a base for the move.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend on 1h and 2h is bearish, so the bounce could fade quickly.
▼ Resistance at 158.94900 is nearby and may cap upside, especially if the 1h trend resumes.
▼ If support at 157.58300 breaks, the bullish setup is invalidated and downside could accelerate.
▼ The 4h and 8h trends are choppy, indicating a lack of clear direction that could lead to whipsaws.