AVA/XUSDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-16 06:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.86 %

Entry

10.080

Target

9.470 +6.05 %

closes in profit

Stop

10.401 −3.18 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,175 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 9,175 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

34 % at target avg +1.09 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

38.0 % ↑ +2.1 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 25 % (4.80) ▼ Bearish 75 % (14.50)

model score 9.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 06:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.96
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.44
▲	Upside Gap Three Method	candlestick	1.18
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.12
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.74

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 30m bearish signal is strongly supported by multiple indicators and aligns with higher-timeframe downtrends.
The short-term bullish push is weak and choppy, likely to reverse given the overbought STC entry and moving-average retreats.
Watch the 10.09000 resistance: a rejection there confirms the sell signal; a break above would invalidate it.
The 4h solid bearish trend is the anchor; the 30m signal is a tactical entry into that larger move.

The 30-minute SELL signal for AVA/XUSDT is backed by a dense cluster of bearish indicators: the BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (BBANDS UPPER, EMA 200, TEMA) all point to fading upside momentum. The HT SINE Cross Up and Zero Cross Up add a cyclical overlay, while the STC OB Entry confirms overbought conditions. Together, these signals suggest the recent bullish push on the lower timeframes is losing steam, and a pullback toward support is the path of least resistance.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent: the 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d all show bearish trends, with the 4h holding a solid trend score of 3/5. The 15m, 30m, and 1h are still bullish but weak and choppy, indicating that the short-term uptick is fragile and likely to be overridden. The key battleground is the resistance at 10.09000—if price fails to hold above it, the nearest support at 9.47000 becomes the target. Traders should watch for a break below the 30m EMA 200 to confirm the retreat, and any failure of the higher-timeframe bearish structure would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (BBANDS UPPER, EMA 200, TEMA) confirm downside momentum.
▼ BOP and STOCHF cross-downs add volume and stochastic confirmation.
▼ STC overbought entry suggests limited upside room.
▼ Higher-timeframe alignment (2h through 1d bearish) supports the 30m signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still bullish, which could delay or weaken the pullback.
▲ If price breaks above 10.09000, the signal is invalidated and the short-term bullish trend may extend.
▲ The 30m trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so momentum may be less reliable than on the 4h.
▲ Choppy/sideways action on the 15m and 2h could lead to whipsaws.