BCH/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
39 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.18 %
Entry
279.80
Target
261.20 +6.65 %
closes in profit
Stop
282.60 −1.00 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 9,356 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 9,356 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
34 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 23 % at stop avg −1.51 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 34 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), TEMA Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
54.9 % ↓ −2.3 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 34 % (5.59) ▼ Bearish 66 % (10.96)
model score 66.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
BCH/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 07:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.77
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.84
▼ TEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.77
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.58
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.31
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.91

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple 30-minute indicators align bearish, signaling a potential downward move.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are bearish, supporting the sell signal, while lower timeframes are only weakly bullish.
  • Watch the 280.20 resistance and 261.20 support as key levels for confirmation or invalidation.
  • The signal is moderate strength with 70% probability, so manage risk accordingly.
The BCH/USDT 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, TEMA Retreat Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and a Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%). Together, these indicate that selling pressure is building and momentum is shifting lower after a short-term bounce. The alignment of multiple indicators—from momentum oscillators to trend-following moving averages—suggests a coordinated bearish push, though the moderate strength and 70% probability imply room for error.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 4H and 8H charts show solid downtrends (strength 3/5), while the 15M, 30M, and 1H are only forming bullish trends (2/5), indicating that the recent bounce is weak and likely corrective. The 2H is choppy/sideways, adding uncertainty. The nearest resistance at 280.20 is a key level to watch; a rejection there would confirm the bearish bias. The nearest support at 261.20 is the primary downside target. A break below this support could accelerate selling, while a sustained move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong alignment across multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH, WILLR, TEMA, HT SINE, ER, HMA) all pointing down.
  • ▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) adds confluence to the bearish case.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H) are solidly bearish, providing a macro backdrop for the sell.
  • ▼ Resistance at 280.20 is likely to cap any upside, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are still forming bullish trends; if they strengthen, the sell signal could be overridden.
  • ▲ The 2H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating indecision that could lead to false signals.
  • ▲ A break above the 280.20 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Momentum may be fading as the signal strength is only moderate; watch for a slowdown in selling pressure.
Symbol BCH/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 66%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-16 07:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 280.20000 2026-10-15
R2 282.60000 2026-10-14
R3 289.10000 2026-10-12
S1 261.20000 2026-10-15
S2 256.20000 2026-10-15

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