NEA/RUSDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-16 04:00 UTC 58 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.04 %

Entry

5.2070

Target

4.3010 +17.40 %

closes in profit

Stop

6.0000 −15.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 56 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.07 % per trade 1,318 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,318 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.76 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.91 % 19 % at stop avg −3.97 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, ZLMA Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

53.9 % – first candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +28% Swing

▲ Bullish 37 % (7.03) ▼ Bearish 63 % (11.72)

model score 62.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.0 % vs 32.5 % on average · stopped out 30.9 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 1,619 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 08:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	3.11
▲	KST Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.77
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.11
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.00
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.96
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.81

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

SELL signal on 4H is counter to the dominant bullish trend on higher timeframes.
Bearish momentum is confirmed by trendline break and stochastic/KDJ cross downs.
Watch 4.30100 support: a break could extend the pullback; 6.00000 resistance is the invalidation zone.
Weak signal strength (62%) and choppy lower timeframes suggest caution.

The NEA/RUSDT 4H chart has triggered a SELL signal, driven by a Trendline Break Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and KDJ OB Exit, alongside HMA Retreat and Direction Down. However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish: the 1D timeframe shows a very strong uptrend (4/5), and the 2H is solidly bullish (3/5), while the 1H and 4H are forming bullish trends (2/5). The bearish signal is thus a counter-trend pullback within a larger uptrend, with weak strength (62% probability) and only a weak trend score on the 15m (1/5).

Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 6.00000 and nearest support at 4.30100. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the downside. The signal's confluence comes from multiple indicators (STOCH, KDJ, HMA) pointing down, but the higher-timeframe bullish bias suggests this may be a temporary correction rather than a reversal. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the 4H trendline to gauge whether the bearish momentum can overcome the prevailing bullish structure.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators align bearishly on the 4H: STOCH KD Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, and HMA Retreat/Direction Down.
▼ Trendline Break Down provides a clear technical trigger for the sell signal.
▼ The signal includes candlestick patterns, adding confluence to the bearish case.
▼ The 15m and 30m are bearish, supporting near-term downside momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1D, 2H) are bullish, which could absorb the bearish pullback and lead to a reversal upward.
▲ The signal strength is weak (62%), and the overall trend score is low, indicating limited conviction.
▲ A reclaim of the 4H trendline or a break above 6.00000 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Choppy/sideways action on 15m and 8h suggests the market may lack clear direction, increasing false-signal risk.