TRX/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW
58 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.24 %
Entry
0.3346
Target
0.3270 +2.27 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.3366 −0.60 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 56 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.07 % per trade 1,318 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,318 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.76 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.91 % 19 % at stop avg −3.97 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, SMA 200 Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
54.9 % – first candle
MODERATE Swing
▲ Bullish 34 % (3.57) ▼ Bearish 66 % (6.82)
model score 65.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.7 % vs 32.5 % on average · stopped out 39.5 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 1,465 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
TRX/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 08:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 2.11
▲ STC Level Cross Up indicator 1.98
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up indicator 1.60
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.38
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.21
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.83

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signals dominate on 4H despite a bullish bias on lower timeframes, suggesting a pullback within a larger uptrend.
  • Momentum and volume indicators (BOP, STOCHF) are turning down, while price retreats from the SMA 200.
  • Watch the 0.32700 support; a break below would strengthen the bearish case, while 0.33660 resistance is the invalidation zone.
  • Trend scores are weak across most timeframes, so the sell signal is moderate and needs confirmation.
The 4H TRX/USDT signal fires a bearish cluster despite the broader bullish tilt across lower timeframes. Seven signals align: BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate fading buying pressure and momentum, while SMA 200 Retreat Down confirms price pulling back from the 200-period average. The Bearish Harami candle pattern adds a reversal warning. However, QQE Midline Cross Up and STC Level Cross Up signal a short-term upward correction within the larger bearish move, and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price had stretched above its mean and is now reverting. This mixed picture points to a corrective pullback rather than a full trend reversal.

Trend scores are weak across most timeframes (1-2/5), with only the 30m showing solid bullish strength. The 12h timeframe is already bearish, but the 4H and 8H remain choppy/sideways, lacking clear directional conviction. Key levels: resistance at 0.33660 and support at 0.32700. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the sell signal. Traders should watch for confirmation on lower timeframes and monitor whether the bullish corrections fade into resistance.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple bearish signals clustering: BOP, STOCHF, SMA 200, and Bearish Harami.
  • ▼ ZSCORE extreme high exit suggests price was overextended and is reverting.
  • ▼ 12H timeframe already bearish, aligning with the 4H sell signal.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.33660 is nearby, providing a potential rejection zone.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are bullish, which could fuel a bounce and invalidate the sell.
  • ▲ The 4H and 8H trends are choppy/sideways, lacking strong bearish momentum.
  • ▲ QQE and STC are crossing up, indicating short-term bullish correction that could stall the decline.
  • ▲ If price breaks above 0.33660 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
Symbol TRX/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 66%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-16 04:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.33660 2026-10-08
R2 0.33710 2026-10-05
R3 0.33750 2026-10-03
S1 0.32700 2026-10-13

Tags

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