EUR/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-16 14:00 UTC 37 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %

Entry

1.59288

Target

1.58938 +0.22 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.59614 −0.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 992 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 992 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), ER Level Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +34% Intraday

▲ Bullish 7 % (2.03) ▼ Bearish 93 % (28.61)

model score 93.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.03
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.86
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.83
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.42
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.37
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.20
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.03
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.97
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 1H sell signal with 93% probability, driven by multiple bearish indicator crossovers and retreats.
Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish, supporting the sell bias despite some shorter-term bullishness.
Watch support at 1.58938; a break could confirm further downside, while resistance at 1.59614 is the key invalidation level.
Momentum indicators like CCI and stochastic are turning down from overbought, adding to the bearish case.

The 1H SELL signal on EUR/CAD is supported by a cluster of momentum and trend-based indicators all flipping bearish simultaneously. The BOP Zero Cross Down and ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down confirm selling pressure, while the CCI OB Exit and STOCH KD Cross Down indicate momentum is turning lower after an overbought condition. Price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and below both the EMA 200 and SMA 200 underscores a bearish shift on the 1H timeframe, with the ER Level Cross Down adding confluence. The signal is further backed by a very strong probability (93%) and a strong strength rating.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on the higher timeframes. The 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all show bearish trends, though mostly choppy or forming, while the 15M is solidly bearish. The 30M and 1H are still bullish, which introduces some conflict, but the immediate 15M momentum aligns with the sell signal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.59614 and support at 1.58938. A break below support could accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, ERI, CCI, STOCH) all flipping bearish at once, providing strong confluence.
▼ Price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and below key moving averages (EMA 200, SMA 200) on the 1H.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability suggest robust momentum behind the move.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30M and 1H timeframes are still bullish, which could counter the sell signal and lead to a pullback.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 1.59614, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly if the overbought exit is not followed by sustained selling pressure.
▲ Choppy/sideways trends on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) indicate a lack of strong directional conviction.