EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-16 16:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.10 %

Entry

177.703

Target

178.028 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

177.146 −0.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,888 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,888 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, CTI OB Exit, Trendline Break Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +31% Scalping

▲ Bullish 97 % (57.17) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.54)

model score 7.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 13.5 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 489 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Ascending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.74
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.69
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.60
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.98
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.54
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.48

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, with high probability and very strong strength.
Ascending triangle and trendline break suggest a bullish continuation, but watch the 177.14600 support.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend rally.
MACD signal cross down is a warning of potential momentum divergence.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, an Ascending Triangle, and a BOP Zero Cross Up, alongside momentum confirmations from CCI and STOCHF. The MACD Signal Cross Down is a cautionary note, but the overall signal strength is very strong with a 97% probability. The immediate trend is bullish on the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes, with the 2-hour and 4-hour also showing bullish but choppy conditions. However, the higher timeframes (8-hour, 12-hour, 1-day) are bearish, which suggests this is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.

Key support is at 177.14600, and a break below that level would invalidate the bullish setup. The ascending triangle pattern and the trendline break indicate buyer accumulation, and the EMA retreat up suggests the pullback is finding support. Traders should watch for a sustained move higher, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends mean that upside may be limited. The nearest resistance is not defined, so the path of least resistance could be up until the higher timeframe bearish trends reassert themselves.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals align (trendline break, ascending triangle, BOP, CCI, STOCHF).
▲ EMA retreat up indicates the pullback is being bought.
▲ Support at 177.14600 is holding, providing a base for the move.
▲ Strong trend score on the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes supports the immediate bullish bias.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (8H, 12H, 1D) could cap upside and reverse the move.
▼ MACD signal cross down suggests momentum may be waning.
▼ A break below 177.14600 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The 2H and 4H are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction.