EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
37 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.10 %
Entry
177.869
Target
177.146 +0.41 %
closes in profit
Stop
178.707 −0.47 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,888 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,888 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % ↑ +5.7 vs previous candle
MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping
▲ Bullish 26 % (3.93) ▼ Bearish 74 % (11.12)
model score 73.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.6 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 476 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.37
▲ RSI OB Exit indicator 1.93
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.69
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.62
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.40
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.33
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 1.10
▼ High Wave Bearish candlestick 0.99

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish momentum signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term pullback, but the overall trend is still bullish on lower timeframes.
  • The 8-hour and 12-hour timeframes are bearish, indicating a potential larger downtrend that could align with the 30-minute sell signal.
  • Key support at 177.14600 is the level to monitor; a break below would confirm bearish continuation.
  • The signal strength is weak, so traders should wait for confirmation before acting.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, RSI OB Exit, and a ZSCORE Extreme High Exit. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent upside momentum is stalling and that price is retreating from overbought conditions. The KDJ Cross Down and HMA Retreat Down further confirm a short-term pullback, while the BBANDS Upper Retreat Down indicates price is moving back inside the bands after an upper-band rejection.

Despite the bearish signals on the 30-minute timeframe, the broader trend is mixed. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes remain bullish, while the 8-hour and 12-hour timeframes are bearish. This creates a conflicting picture: the immediate trend is up, but the longer-term bias is down. The nearest support sits at 177.14600, which is the key level to watch. If price breaks below this, the bearish case strengthens; if it holds, the pullback may be shallow.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (RSI, CCI, ZSCORE) indicate that buying pressure is exhausted.
  • ▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down and KDJ Cross Down confirm a shift in momentum to the downside.
  • ▼ The bearish trend on higher timeframes (8h, 12h) could provide a backdrop for a deeper pullback.
  • ▼ The BBANDS Upper Retreat Down shows price is pulling back from the upper band, a classic mean-reversion signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still bullish, which could override the bearish signals if the pullback is shallow.
  • ▲ The signal strength is weak, so the probability of a sustained move is lower.
  • ▲ If price holds above the 177.14600 support, the bearish scenario may fail and price could resume its uptrend.
  • ▲ The 1-hour and 2-hour trends are bullish (though weak), which could provide support and limit downside.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 74%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-10-16 14:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 177.14600 2026-10-16
S2 177.06500 2026-10-16
S3 176.69900 2026-10-15

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