GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.16 %
Entry
210.092
Target
210.477 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
209.513 −0.28 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,786 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,786 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, BBANDS UPPER Break Up, KAMA Retreat Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +22% Scalping
▲ Bullish 93 % (50.92) ▼ Bearish 7 % (3.74)
model score 93.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
GBP/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 93%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Ascending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 2.94
▲ BBANDS UPPER Break Up indicator 2.93
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.55
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.33
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.32
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.25
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.20
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.95
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.78
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.76
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.58
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.51
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.49
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.45
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.44
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.31
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.18
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.10
▼ STC OB Entry indicator 1.06
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High indicator 1.00
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.93
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 0.82

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 30m signal is strongly bullish with a 93% probability, backed by a wide array of patterns and indicators.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m-4h) are all bullish, but choppy/sideways, suggesting a gradual grind higher rather than a clean trend.
  • The Ascending Triangle and multiple breakouts (BBANDS, HT TRENDLINE) point to a potential push toward the 210.30600 resistance.
  • Higher timeframes (8h-1d) are bearish, so the bullish move may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 93% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of chart patterns, indicators, and candlestick formations. The Ascending Triangle pattern suggests a bullish breakout, while the BOP Zero Cross Up, DX Trend Strong, and STOCHF KD Cross Up all confirm upward momentum. The WILLR OB Entry, BBANDS UPPER Break Up, EMA Retreat Up, and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up further reinforce the bullish case. The trend across timeframes from 15m to 4h is uniformly bullish, albeit choppy/sideways, indicating that while the short-term direction is up, the market is not trending cleanly. This choppiness could suggest a ranging market that is slowly grinding higher, with the Ascending Triangle providing a structural base.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 210.30600 and support at 209.51300. A break above resistance would confirm the triangle's upside breakout and likely accelerate the move, while a hold above support would keep the bullish structure intact. However, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which poses a significant risk. The 1d timeframe is only a 2/5 trend strength, indicating a developing bearish trend. This means the bullish signal is counter to the longer-term bias, and traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained rally. The confluence of signals is strong, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend is a major headwind.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Strong confluence of patterns and indicators across multiple groups (candlestick, indicator, chart_pattern).
  • ▲ Uniform bullish trend across 15m to 4h timeframes, providing alignment for the signal.
  • ▲ Ascending Triangle breakout and upper band/trendline breaks suggest building upside momentum.
  • ▲ Very strong trend score and high probability (93%) increase confidence in the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, with the 1d trend forming, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways action across all timeframes indicates a lack of strong directional conviction, raising the risk of false breakouts.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above 210.30600, the triangle may resolve lower, invalidating the bullish pattern.
  • ▼ Watch for a drop below the 209.51300 support, which would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a shift to bearish.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-16 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 210.30600 2026-10-14
S1 209.51300 2026-10-16
S2 208.86900 2026-10-15
S3 208.35900 2026-10-14

Tags

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