GBP/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %
Entry
1.33321
Target
1.33549 +0.17 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.32312 −0.76 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,888 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,888 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, ALMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +7% Scalping
▲ Bullish 98 % (41.62) ▼ Bearish 2 % (1.00)
model score 97.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
GBP/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 98%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Ascending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.31
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.34
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.28
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.18
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.18
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.18
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.15
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.13
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.12
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.68
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 1.64
▲ ULTOSC OB Exit indicator 1.61
▼ Advance Block candlestick 1.29
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.05

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on the 30m with an Ascending Triangle breakout and multiple moving average retreats.
  • Support at 1.32312 is the key level to watch; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend rally—keep position size conservative.
  • Trend scores are solid on lower timeframes but weaken higher up, so expect possible resistance or reversal.
The GBP/USD 30-minute signal fires a very strong bullish setup with an Ascending Triangle breakout, supported by a cluster of moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) and oscillator confirmations (STOCHF KD Cross Down, ULTOSC OB Exit). The confluence of chart pattern, indicator, and candlestick signals at the 30-minute timeframe indicates a high-probability long entry, with the nearest support at 1.32312 serving as the immediate invalidation zone.

Across higher timeframes, the bullish trend is solid on the 15m and 30m, forming on the 1h and 2h, but becomes choppy/sideways on the 4h and 8h, and flips bearish on the 12h and 1d. This suggests the bullish momentum is strongest in the lower timeframes and may be a counter-trend move against the larger daily downtrend. Traders should watch for the higher timeframe bearish trend to reassert itself, especially if price fails to hold above the 1.32312 support or if momentum stalls.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of chart pattern (Ascending Triangle) with multiple indicator groups (moving averages, oscillators) and candlestick signals.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (95% probability) and solid trend scores on 15m and 30m timeframes.
  • ▲ The cluster of retreats across five different moving averages indicates broad-based buying pressure.
  • ▲ Nearest support at 1.32312 is close, providing a clear stop-loss reference.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bearish, which could overwhelm the lower-timeframe bullish move.
  • ▼ The 4h and 8h trends are choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of higher-timeframe momentum.
  • ▼ A break below the 1.32312 support would invalidate the Ascending Triangle and signal a false breakout.
  • ▼ Momentum may fade if the RSI or other oscillators show divergence or if price stalls near the upper boundary of the triangle.
Symbol GBP/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-16 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 1.32312 2026-10-15
S2 1.31369 2026-10-14

Tags

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