USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-16 10:30 UTC 3 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.17 %

Entry

1.41654

Target

1.41411 +0.17 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.41990 −0.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 1,978 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,978 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.37 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, HMA Break Down, T3 Break Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 25,177 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.66
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.66
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.64
▼	AO Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.48
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MACD Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.04
▼	RSI Hidden Bear Div	divergence	1.57
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	0.91
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal on the 30M timeframe, with 98% probability and multiple moving-average retreats aligning.
All lower timeframes (15m-2h) are bearish and forming, but higher timeframes (8h-1d) are bullish, indicating a counter-trend move.
Nearest resistance at 1.41990 is the key level to watch; a rejection there supports the sell, while a break above would invalidate it.
No nearest support is defined, so downside targets are unclear; manage risk accordingly.

The USD/CAD 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 98% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad cluster of moving-average-based retreat indicators (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) plus additional signals in divergence, indicator, and candlestick groups. This confluence suggests that price has decisively pulled back from recent highs and is now pressing lower against a wall of dynamic support-turned-resistance. The nearest resistance at 1.41990 is a critical level to watch; a retest and rejection there would reinforce the bearish case, while a decisive break above would invalidate the signal.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is consistent on the lower timeframes (15m through 2h), all showing a trend forming with a score of 2/5. However, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, with the 12h showing a very strong trend (4/5). This creates a clear conflict: the immediate momentum is down, but the longer-term trend is up. The signal is therefore likely a counter-trend move within a larger bullish structure. Traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity, not a trend reversal, and watch for signs of the higher-timeframe trend reasserting itself.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of multiple moving-average retreat indicators on the 30M timeframe, signaling broad-based selling pressure.
▼ Bearish alignment across all lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) supports the continuation of the downtrend.
▼ Signal groups include divergence and candlestick patterns, adding technical confirmation to the price action.
▼ Very high probability (98%) and very strong strength suggest robust signal quality.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, with the 12h showing a very strong trend; this could overpower the short-term bearish move.
▲ The nearest resistance at 1.41990 is close; a break above this level would invalidate the bearish signal and likely trigger a reversal.
▲ No nearest support is defined, leaving the downside open but also increasing uncertainty about where the move might stall.
▲ The 4h timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating that the bearish trend is not yet solid at that horizon, so momentum could fade.